Negotiations between the Trump administration and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program center on the fate of Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium, estimated by the IAEA at roughly 440 kg of material enriched to 60% before the June 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities. A June 2026 draft memorandum of understanding reportedly includes provisions for on-site destruction and removal of the material, which U.S. officials described as leading to Washington taking possession. Iran has resisted direct handover to the United States in prior talks and faces domestic constraints on ceding the stockpile. Diplomatic channels remain the primary pathway, with military extraction viewed as high-risk. Trader odds stay low across 2026 resolution dates because no official U.S. confirmation of acquisition has occurred, and verification of any transfer would require IAEA involvement amid ongoing uncertainty over the material's location under damaged sites.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডআমেরিকা ইরানি সমৃদ্ধ ইউরেনিয়াম পায়...?
$29,105,697 Vol.
August 31
1%
September 30
2%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
8%
$29,105,697 Vol.
August 31
1%
September 30
2%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
8%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the Trump administration and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program center on the fate of Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium, estimated by the IAEA at roughly 440 kg of material enriched to 60% before the June 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities. A June 2026 draft memorandum of understanding reportedly includes provisions for on-site destruction and removal of the material, which U.S. officials described as leading to Washington taking possession. Iran has resisted direct handover to the United States in prior talks and faces domestic constraints on ceding the stockpile. Diplomatic channels remain the primary pathway, with military extraction viewed as high-risk. Trader odds stay low across 2026 resolution dates because no official U.S. confirmation of acquisition has occurred, and verification of any transfer would require IAEA involvement amid ongoing uncertainty over the material's location under damaged sites.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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