This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-Iran indirect negotiations via Pakistani mediators for a permanent peace deal have stalled after President Trump rejected Tehran's May 10 counter-proposal as "totally unacceptable," amid a fragile two-week ceasefire from early April now on "life support." Core sticking points include US demands for Iran to dismantle uranium enrichment facilities and ship out stockpiles, versus Tehran's insistence on a permanent war end first, separate from nuclear talks. Recent escalations—ship seizures near the Strait of Hormuz, reports of Saudi-UAE strikes inside Iran, and new US sanctions on IRGC oil operations—underscore tensions, while VP JD Vance leads US efforts and no direct talks or resolution deadlines are confirmed. Traders weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against entrenched positions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US-Iran indirect negotiations via Pakistani mediators for a permanent peace deal have stalled after President Trump rejected Tehran's May 10 counter-proposal as "totally unacceptable," amid a fragile two-week ceasefire from early April now on "life support." Core sticking points include US demands for Iran to dismantle uranium enrichment facilities and ship out stockpiles, versus Tehran's insistence on a permanent war end first, separate from nuclear talks. Recent escalations—ship seizures near the Strait of Hormuz, reports of Saudi-UAE strikes inside Iran, and new US sanctions on IRGC oil operations—underscore tensions, while VP JD Vance leads US efforts and no direct talks or resolution deadlines are confirmed. Traders weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against entrenched positions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
May 12 2026
Iranian foreign minister returns to Pakistan for renewed negotiations
May 31 drops to 24%7%
The foreign minister’s visit was seen as a concrete step toward a diplomatic resolution, briefly stabilizing market sentiment for the May 31 outcome before subsequent setbacks.
May 10 2026
U.S. blockade leads to seizure of additional Iranian tankers
May 13 drops to 0%14%
Further interdictions reinforced the perception that the conflict was far from resolution, pushing the market for the May 13 outcome toward zero.
May 8 2026
U.S. forces fire on and disable two Iranian tankers in the Strait of Hormuz
May 15 drops to 5%10%
A direct military engagement by U.S. forces heightened tensions and signaled a possible escalation, causing the market to sharply downgrade the chances of any peace deal before May 15.
May 7 2026
Trump says Iran has offered a “much better” proposal
May 15 dips to 5%4%
Trump’s comment that Iran’s latest offer was substantially improved revived optimism for a quick deal, causing a short‑term price uptick for the May 15 outcome.
May 2 2026
Asian markets rally on hopes of renewed US‑Iran talks
May 31 dips to 12%2%
Stocks rose in Asia after reports that back‑channel diplomacy was progressing, briefly boosting confidence in a May 31 settlement.
Apr 30 2026
U.S. warns shipping firms of sanctions for paying Iran to transit Hormuz
May 31 dips to 14%4%
The sanctions warning added economic pressure on Iran and signaled a tougher U.S. stance, pushing market prices for later deadlines lower.
Apr 26 2026
Trump says Iran has offered a ‘much better’ peace proposal
December 31 jumps to 78%8%
President Trump publicly noted that Iran had submitted a more favorable proposal, raising hopes for a settlement and pushing the market’s probability for a December‑31 deal higher.
Apr 26 2026
Iran’s foreign minister returns to Pakistan for talks
May 31 drops to 18%5%
A brief diplomatic visit raised hopes of a breakthrough, temporarily lifting market prices for the May 31 outcome before the optimism faded later in the week.
Apr 25 2026
Trump cancels US envoys' trip to Pakistan for Iran talks amid stalled negotiations
May 15 drops to 1%14%
Iran’s top diplomat left Pakistan and President Trump said he told envoys not to travel to Islamabad, signaling a breakdown in planned talks. This increased doubts about near-term peace prospects and contributed to falling market prices for early resolution dates.
Apr 23 2026
Trump orders U.S. forces to “shoot and kill” small boats in Hormuz
May 15 drops to 9%6%
Trump’s aggressive directive signaled a willingness to use force, further eroding market expectations of a diplomatic resolution before the May 15 deadline.
Apr 21 2026
US Navy seizes Iranian‑flagged cargo ship near Hormuz
May 13 drops to 14%8%
The seizure heightened tensions and suggested the ceasefire could collapse, prompting traders to sharply reduce the probability of a permanent agreement before the May 13 deadline.
Apr 21 2026
U.S. and Iran resume indirect talks in Pakistan after blockade
December 31 jumps to 70%7%
Back‑channel negotiations were reported to be underway, offering a glimmer of diplomatic progress that temporarily boosted the market’s outlook for a deal by the end of the year.
Apr 19 2026
Trump rejects Iran’s latest peace proposal
May 31 drops to 23%8%
President Trump publicly said he was not satisfied with Iran’s newest offer, removing any immediate optimism for a deal and causing a further drop in market confidence for all outcomes.
Apr 19 2026
US seizes Iranian-flagged cargo ship near Strait of Hormuz, Iran vows swift response
May 13 plunges to 0%22%
The US Navy seized an Iranian cargo ship attempting to evade the blockade, marking a ceasefire violation and escalating tensions. President Trump announced US negotiators would attend talks in Pakistan, but Iran had not confirmed participation, maintaining uncertainty about peace progress.
Apr 18 2026
Iran fully closes Strait of Hormuz and fires on ships in response to US blockade
June 30 plunges to 45%16%
Iran reversed its reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and fired on ships attempting to pass, escalating the standoff after the US blockade of Iranian ports. This action threatened to deepen the conflict and global energy crisis, undermining peace prospects.
Apr 18 2026
Iranian Revolutionary Guard closes Strait of Hormuz and fires on ships
May 31 drops to 31%9%
Iran’s IRGC announced the complete closure of the strategic waterway and engaged vessels, signaling a hardening stance that pushed market prices for a peace deal sharply lower.
Apr 18 2026
Iranian Revolutionary Guard closes Strait of Hormuz and fires on passing ships
December 31 jumps to 63%9%
The IRGC announced a full closure of the strategic waterway and engaged vessels, dramatically raising the risk of continued conflict and lowering market confidence in a permanent peace deal.
Apr 14 2026
Diplomats work to arrange new US-Iran talks amid ongoing blockade and ceasefire
December 31 jumps to 63%9%
Diplomats, including Pakistani mediators, sought to arrange a new round of talks between the US and Iran after the US naval blockade began. Despite efforts, no immediate agreement was reached, and the ceasefire remained fragile, sustaining market uncertainty.
Apr 13 2026
U.S. announces naval blockade of Iranian ports
May 31 dips to 40%4%
President Trump declared a full‑scale naval blockade of all Iranian ports, intensifying pressure on Tehran and prompting traders to downgrade the odds of a permanent peace deal before any deadline.
Apr 13 2026
US announces naval blockade of Iranian ports amid stalled ceasefire talks
June 30 surges to 70%29%
President Trump declared a US military blockade of all Iranian ports following failed ceasefire talks in Pakistan, escalating tensions and casting doubt on the fragile ceasefire. This move aimed to pressure Iran into a deal but increased hostilities and uncertainty about peace prospects.
Apr 13 2026
U.S. announces full naval blockade of Iranian ports
June 30 surges to 70%29%
President Trump declared a comprehensive blockade of Iran’s ports, signaling a hardening U.S. stance and prompting traders to downgrade the likelihood of any near‑term peace agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-Iran indirect negotiations via Pakistani mediators for a permanent peace deal have stalled after President Trump rejected Tehran's May 10 counter-proposal as "totally unacceptable," amid a fragile two-week ceasefire from early April now on "life support." Core sticking points include US demands for Iran to dismantle uranium enrichment facilities and ship out stockpiles, versus Tehran's insistence on a permanent war end first, separate from nuclear talks. Recent escalations—ship seizures near the Strait of Hormuz, reports of Saudi-UAE strikes inside Iran, and new US sanctions on IRGC oil operations—underscore tensions, while VP JD Vance leads US efforts and no direct talks or resolution deadlines are confirmed. Traders weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against entrenched positions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US-Iran indirect negotiations via Pakistani mediators for a permanent peace deal have stalled after President Trump rejected Tehran's May 10 counter-proposal as "totally unacceptable," amid a fragile two-week ceasefire from early April now on "life support." Core sticking points include US demands for Iran to dismantle uranium enrichment facilities and ship out stockpiles, versus Tehran's insistence on a permanent war end first, separate from nuclear talks. Recent escalations—ship seizures near the Strait of Hormuz, reports of Saudi-UAE strikes inside Iran, and new US sanctions on IRGC oil operations—underscore tensions, while VP JD Vance leads US efforts and no direct talks or resolution deadlines are confirmed. Traders weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against entrenched positions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
May 12 2026
Iranian foreign minister returns to Pakistan for renewed negotiations
May 31 drops to 24%7%
The foreign minister’s visit was seen as a concrete step toward a diplomatic resolution, briefly stabilizing market sentiment for the May 31 outcome before subsequent setbacks.
May 10 2026
U.S. blockade leads to seizure of additional Iranian tankers
May 13 drops to 0%14%
Further interdictions reinforced the perception that the conflict was far from resolution, pushing the market for the May 13 outcome toward zero.
May 8 2026
U.S. forces fire on and disable two Iranian tankers in the Strait of Hormuz
May 15 drops to 5%10%
A direct military engagement by U.S. forces heightened tensions and signaled a possible escalation, causing the market to sharply downgrade the chances of any peace deal before May 15.
May 7 2026
Trump says Iran has offered a “much better” proposal
May 15 dips to 5%4%
Trump’s comment that Iran’s latest offer was substantially improved revived optimism for a quick deal, causing a short‑term price uptick for the May 15 outcome.
May 2 2026
Asian markets rally on hopes of renewed US‑Iran talks
May 31 dips to 12%2%
Stocks rose in Asia after reports that back‑channel diplomacy was progressing, briefly boosting confidence in a May 31 settlement.
Apr 30 2026
U.S. warns shipping firms of sanctions for paying Iran to transit Hormuz
May 31 dips to 14%4%
The sanctions warning added economic pressure on Iran and signaled a tougher U.S. stance, pushing market prices for later deadlines lower.
Apr 26 2026
Trump says Iran has offered a ‘much better’ peace proposal
December 31 jumps to 78%8%
President Trump publicly noted that Iran had submitted a more favorable proposal, raising hopes for a settlement and pushing the market’s probability for a December‑31 deal higher.
Apr 26 2026
Iran’s foreign minister returns to Pakistan for talks
May 31 drops to 18%5%
A brief diplomatic visit raised hopes of a breakthrough, temporarily lifting market prices for the May 31 outcome before the optimism faded later in the week.
Apr 25 2026
Trump cancels US envoys' trip to Pakistan for Iran talks amid stalled negotiations
May 15 drops to 1%14%
Iran’s top diplomat left Pakistan and President Trump said he told envoys not to travel to Islamabad, signaling a breakdown in planned talks. This increased doubts about near-term peace prospects and contributed to falling market prices for early resolution dates.
Apr 23 2026
Trump orders U.S. forces to “shoot and kill” small boats in Hormuz
May 15 drops to 9%6%
Trump’s aggressive directive signaled a willingness to use force, further eroding market expectations of a diplomatic resolution before the May 15 deadline.
Apr 21 2026
US Navy seizes Iranian‑flagged cargo ship near Hormuz
May 13 drops to 14%8%
The seizure heightened tensions and suggested the ceasefire could collapse, prompting traders to sharply reduce the probability of a permanent agreement before the May 13 deadline.
Apr 21 2026
U.S. and Iran resume indirect talks in Pakistan after blockade
December 31 jumps to 70%7%
Back‑channel negotiations were reported to be underway, offering a glimmer of diplomatic progress that temporarily boosted the market’s outlook for a deal by the end of the year.
Apr 19 2026
Trump rejects Iran’s latest peace proposal
May 31 drops to 23%8%
President Trump publicly said he was not satisfied with Iran’s newest offer, removing any immediate optimism for a deal and causing a further drop in market confidence for all outcomes.
Apr 19 2026
US seizes Iranian-flagged cargo ship near Strait of Hormuz, Iran vows swift response
May 13 plunges to 0%22%
The US Navy seized an Iranian cargo ship attempting to evade the blockade, marking a ceasefire violation and escalating tensions. President Trump announced US negotiators would attend talks in Pakistan, but Iran had not confirmed participation, maintaining uncertainty about peace progress.
Apr 18 2026
Iran fully closes Strait of Hormuz and fires on ships in response to US blockade
June 30 plunges to 45%16%
Iran reversed its reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and fired on ships attempting to pass, escalating the standoff after the US blockade of Iranian ports. This action threatened to deepen the conflict and global energy crisis, undermining peace prospects.
Apr 18 2026
Iranian Revolutionary Guard closes Strait of Hormuz and fires on ships
May 31 drops to 31%9%
Iran’s IRGC announced the complete closure of the strategic waterway and engaged vessels, signaling a hardening stance that pushed market prices for a peace deal sharply lower.
Apr 18 2026
Iranian Revolutionary Guard closes Strait of Hormuz and fires on passing ships
December 31 jumps to 63%9%
The IRGC announced a full closure of the strategic waterway and engaged vessels, dramatically raising the risk of continued conflict and lowering market confidence in a permanent peace deal.
Apr 14 2026
Diplomats work to arrange new US-Iran talks amid ongoing blockade and ceasefire
December 31 jumps to 63%9%
Diplomats, including Pakistani mediators, sought to arrange a new round of talks between the US and Iran after the US naval blockade began. Despite efforts, no immediate agreement was reached, and the ceasefire remained fragile, sustaining market uncertainty.
Apr 13 2026
U.S. announces naval blockade of Iranian ports
May 31 dips to 40%4%
President Trump declared a full‑scale naval blockade of all Iranian ports, intensifying pressure on Tehran and prompting traders to downgrade the odds of a permanent peace deal before any deadline.
Apr 13 2026
US announces naval blockade of Iranian ports amid stalled ceasefire talks
June 30 surges to 70%29%
President Trump declared a US military blockade of all Iranian ports following failed ceasefire talks in Pakistan, escalating tensions and casting doubt on the fragile ceasefire. This move aimed to pressure Iran into a deal but increased hostilities and uncertainty about peace prospects.
Apr 13 2026
U.S. announces full naval blockade of Iranian ports
June 30 surges to 70%29%
President Trump declared a comprehensive blockade of Iran’s ports, signaling a hardening U.S. stance and prompting traders to downgrade the likelihood of any near‑term peace agreement.
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা
"মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?" হলো Polymarket-এ 10 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "December 31" 63%-এ, তারপর "৩০ জুন" 34%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।
আজ পর্যন্ত, "মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?" মোট $113.7 million ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Apr 8, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।
"মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 10 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।
"মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "December 31" 63%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 63% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "৩০ জুন" 34%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।
"মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।
হ্যাঁ। তথ্যবান থাকতে আপনাকে ট্রেড করতে হবে না। এই পেজটি "মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?"-এর একটি লাইভ ট্র্যাকার হিসেবে কাজ করে। নতুন ট্রেড আসলে ফলাফল সম্ভাবনা রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।
Polymarket অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডাররা তাদের বিশ্বাসের পেছনে প্রকৃত অর্থ রাখে, যা নির্ভুল প্রেডিকশন সামনে আনতে থাকে। "মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?"-এ $113.7 million ট্রেড হওয়ায়, এই দামগুলো হাজারো অংশগ্রহণকারীর সম্মিলিত জ্ঞান ও প্রত্যয় একত্রিত করে — প্রায়ই পোল, বিশেষজ্ঞ ফোরকাস্ট ও ঐতিহ্যবাহী সার্ভেকে ছাড়িয়ে যায়। Polymarket-এর এক মাসের নির্ভুলতা স্কোর 94%। Polymarket-এর প্রেডিকশন নির্ভুলতার সর্বশেষ পরিসংখ্যানের জন্য, দেখুন accuracy পেজ Polymarket-এ।
"মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?"-এ আপনার প্রথম ট্রেড করতে, একটি বিনামূল্যে Polymarket অ্যাকাউন্টে সাইন আপ করুন এবং ক্রিপ্টো, ক্রেডিট বা ডেবিট কার্ড, বা ব্যাংক ট্রান্সফার ব্যবহার করে ফান্ড করুন। অ্যাকাউন্ট ফান্ড হলে, এই পেজে ফিরে আসুন, যে ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে চান সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন।
Polymarket-এ, প্রতিটি ফলাফলের দাম মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে। "মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?" মার্কেটে "December 31"-এর জন্য 63¢ দামে মানে ট্রেডাররা সম্মিলিতভাবে "December 31" সঠিক ফলাফল হওয়ার প্রায় 63% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। আপনি 63¢-এ "Yes" শেয়ার কিনলে এবং ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনি প্রতি শেয়ারে $1.00 পাবেন — প্রতি শেয়ারে 37¢ লাভ।
"মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?" মার্কেট Dec 31, 2026 বা তার আশেপাশে রেজলভ হওয়ার জন্য নির্ধারিত। মানে সেই তারিখ পর্যন্ত ট্রেডিং খোলা থাকবে এবং নতুন তথ্য বের হওয়ার সাথে অডস পরিবর্তিত হতে থাকবে।
"মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?" মার্কেটে 2,275 মন্তব্যের একটি সক্রিয় কমিউনিটি আছে যেখানে ট্রেডাররা তাদের বিশ্লেষণ শেয়ার করে, ফলাফল নিয়ে বিতর্ক করে এবং ব্রেকিং ডেভেলপমেন্ট আলোচনা করে। অন্য অংশগ্রহণকারীরা কী মনে করেন পড়তে নিচে মন্তব্য সেকশনে স্ক্রল করুন।
Polymarket হলো বিশ্বের সবচেয়ে বড় প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট, যেখানে আপনি বাস্তব-বিশ্বের ইভেন্টের জ্ঞান থেকে তথ্যবান থাকতে ও লাভ করতে পারেন। ট্রেডাররা রাজনীতি ও নির্বাচন থেকে ক্রিপ্টো, ফাইন্যান্স, স্পোর্টস, টেক ও কালচার পর্যন্ত টপিকের ফলাফলে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে, "মার্কিন x ইরান স্থায়ী শান্তি চুক্তি দ্বারা...?"-এর মতো মার্কেট সহ।
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