Anthropic's market-implied odds of 61.5% reflect trader consensus on its recent leadership in agentic AI, driven by the 2026 State of AI Agents Report, Claude Managed Agents launch enabling 10x faster enterprise deployment, and multi-agent orchestration features like Dreaming and Outcomes that support complex, long-running workflows. These confirmed releases position its Claude models ahead in demonstrated capabilities for coding, research, and production agents compared to competitors. OpenAI's 33.5% odds track its Operator and Codex SDK advancements, yet lag in recent specialized agent infrastructure. With the October evaluation approaching, upcoming developer conferences and capability benchmarks could shift sentiment if new releases demonstrate superior autonomy or integration.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 65%
OpenAI 34%
ByteDance 2.0%
Moonshot 1.5%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
65%
OpenAI
34%
ByteDance
2%
Moonshot
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Amazon
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Meituan
1%
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 65%
OpenAI 34%
ByteDance 2.0%
Moonshot 1.5%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$2,918 Vol.
65%
OpenAI
$114 Vol.
34%
ByteDance
$90 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$62 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$67 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$124 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$106 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$121 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$125 Vol.
1%
Meta
$126 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$116 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$122 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$137 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$137 Vol.
1%
$76 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$92 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$134 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's market-implied odds of 61.5% reflect trader consensus on its recent leadership in agentic AI, driven by the 2026 State of AI Agents Report, Claude Managed Agents launch enabling 10x faster enterprise deployment, and multi-agent orchestration features like Dreaming and Outcomes that support complex, long-running workflows. These confirmed releases position its Claude models ahead in demonstrated capabilities for coding, research, and production agents compared to competitors. OpenAI's 33.5% odds track its Operator and Codex SDK advancements, yet lag in recent specialized agent infrastructure. With the October evaluation approaching, upcoming developer conferences and capability benchmarks could shift sentiment if new releases demonstrate superior autonomy or integration.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$4,799শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's market-implied odds of 61.5% reflect trader consensus on its recent leadership in agentic AI, driven by the 2026 State of AI Agents Report, Claude Managed Agents launch enabling 10x faster enterprise deployment, and multi-agent orchestration features like Dreaming and Outcomes that support complex, long-running workflows. These confirmed releases position its Claude models ahead in demonstrated capabilities for coding, research, and production agents compared to competitors. OpenAI's 33.5% odds track its Operator and Codex SDK advancements, yet lag in recent specialized agent infrastructure. With the October evaluation approaching, upcoming developer conferences and capability benchmarks could shift sentiment if new releases demonstrate superior autonomy or integration.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ভলিউম
$4,799শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's market-implied odds of 61.5% reflect trader consensus on its recent leadership in agentic AI, driven by the 2026 State of AI Agents Report, Claude Managed Agents launch enabling 10x faster enterprise deployment, and multi-agent orchestration features like Dreaming and Outcomes that support complex, long-running workflows. These confirmed releases position its Claude models ahead in demonstrated capabilities for coding, research, and production agents compared to competitors. OpenAI's 33.5% odds track its Operator and Codex SDK advancements, yet lag in recent specialized agent infrastructure. With the October evaluation approaching, upcoming developer conferences and capability benchmarks could shift sentiment if new releases demonstrate superior autonomy or integration.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা