Anthropic holds a commanding 79.5% implied probability because its Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants, along with recent Opus 4.8 and Mythos 5 iterations, occupy the top positions on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through strong human preference votes on competition-level problems. These models demonstrate leading results on USAMO 2026 and related math benchmarks, reflecting targeted advances in reasoning chains and proof-style tasks since the July 2026 Opus 5 release. OpenAI trails at 10.5% despite GPT-5.6 strengths on FrontierMath, while Google, Moonshot, and Chinese labs remain lower due to narrower leads on the specific arena voting format. Traders are pricing in limited near-term disruption before October resolution, though any major model update could still shift the ranking.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 80%
OpenAI 11%
Google 4.5%
Meituan 2.4%
$15,452 Vol.
$15,452 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
80%
OpenAI
11%
5%
Meituan
2%
Alibaba
2%
Xiaomi
2%
Tencent
2%
DeepSeek
2%
SpaceXAI
2%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
1%
Microsoft
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Anthropic 80%
OpenAI 11%
Google 4.5%
Meituan 2.4%
$15,452 Vol.
$15,452 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$6,327 Vol.
80%
OpenAI
$2,779 Vol.
11%
$370 Vol.
5%
Meituan
$359 Vol.
2%
Alibaba
$333 Vol.
2%
Xiaomi
$411 Vol.
2%
Tencent
$392 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$426 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$325 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$337 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$344 Vol.
1%
Meta
$326 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$338 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$326 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$356 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$301 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$389 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$361 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$331 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$322 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding 79.5% implied probability because its Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants, along with recent Opus 4.8 and Mythos 5 iterations, occupy the top positions on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through strong human preference votes on competition-level problems. These models demonstrate leading results on USAMO 2026 and related math benchmarks, reflecting targeted advances in reasoning chains and proof-style tasks since the July 2026 Opus 5 release. OpenAI trails at 10.5% despite GPT-5.6 strengths on FrontierMath, while Google, Moonshot, and Chinese labs remain lower due to narrower leads on the specific arena voting format. Traders are pricing in limited near-term disruption before October resolution, though any major model update could still shift the ranking.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$15,452শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding 79.5% implied probability because its Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants, along with recent Opus 4.8 and Mythos 5 iterations, occupy the top positions on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through strong human preference votes on competition-level problems. These models demonstrate leading results on USAMO 2026 and related math benchmarks, reflecting targeted advances in reasoning chains and proof-style tasks since the July 2026 Opus 5 release. OpenAI trails at 10.5% despite GPT-5.6 strengths on FrontierMath, while Google, Moonshot, and Chinese labs remain lower due to narrower leads on the specific arena voting format. Traders are pricing in limited near-term disruption before October resolution, though any major model update could still shift the ranking.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$15,452শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding 79.5% implied probability because its Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants, along with recent Opus 4.8 and Mythos 5 iterations, occupy the top positions on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through strong human preference votes on competition-level problems. These models demonstrate leading results on USAMO 2026 and related math benchmarks, reflecting targeted advances in reasoning chains and proof-style tasks since the July 2026 Opus 5 release. OpenAI trails at 10.5% despite GPT-5.6 strengths on FrontierMath, while Google, Moonshot, and Chinese labs remain lower due to narrower leads on the specific arena voting format. Traders are pricing in limited near-term disruption before October resolution, though any major model update could still shift the ranking.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা