Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 55% implied probability thanks to its October 2025 release and subsequent 2026 updates delivering synchronized native audio, stronger prompt adherence, photorealistic textures, and seamless integration with Gemini and YouTube tools. Close competition from Kling 3.0, Runway Gen-4.5, ByteDance Seedance 2.5, and Luma Ray3 creates the crowded field around 50% or lower, with each excelling in motion control, character consistency, or creative editing but lacking Google's broad ecosystem reach and benchmarked realism. Sora 2's API sunset and limited availability further weaken OpenAI's position. With resolution set for end of October, any new model drops or capability demos in the next weeks could shift the tightly matched lower-tier outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGoogle 53%
Meta 28%
ByteDance 27%
Pika 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
53%
Meta
28%
ByteDance
27%
Pika
26%
Tencent
25%
KlingAI
24%
Pruna
24%
SpaceXAI
22%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
19%
Pixverse
19%
Lightricks
25%
Luma AI
5%
Runway
5%
Kandinsky
5%
MiniMax
22%
Genmo AI
25%
OpenAI
20%
Google 53%
Meta 28%
ByteDance 27%
Pika 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
$37 Vol.
53%
Meta
$37 Vol.
28%
ByteDance
$37 Vol.
27%
Pika
$37 Vol.
26%
Tencent
$37 Vol.
25%
KlingAI
$37 Vol.
24%
Pruna
$37 Vol.
24%
SpaceXAI
$37 Vol.
22%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$37 Vol.
19%
Pixverse
$37 Vol.
19%
Lightricks
$53 Vol.
25%
Luma AI
$74 Vol.
5%
Runway
$37 Vol.
5%
Kandinsky
$51 Vol.
5%
MiniMax
$57 Vol.
22%
Genmo AI
$57 Vol.
25%
OpenAI
$57 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 55% implied probability thanks to its October 2025 release and subsequent 2026 updates delivering synchronized native audio, stronger prompt adherence, photorealistic textures, and seamless integration with Gemini and YouTube tools. Close competition from Kling 3.0, Runway Gen-4.5, ByteDance Seedance 2.5, and Luma Ray3 creates the crowded field around 50% or lower, with each excelling in motion control, character consistency, or creative editing but lacking Google's broad ecosystem reach and benchmarked realism. Sora 2's API sunset and limited availability further weaken OpenAI's position. With resolution set for end of October, any new model drops or capability demos in the next weeks could shift the tightly matched lower-tier outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
ভলিউম
$756শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 55% implied probability thanks to its October 2025 release and subsequent 2026 updates delivering synchronized native audio, stronger prompt adherence, photorealistic textures, and seamless integration with Gemini and YouTube tools. Close competition from Kling 3.0, Runway Gen-4.5, ByteDance Seedance 2.5, and Luma Ray3 creates the crowded field around 50% or lower, with each excelling in motion control, character consistency, or creative editing but lacking Google's broad ecosystem reach and benchmarked realism. Sora 2's API sunset and limited availability further weaken OpenAI's position. With resolution set for end of October, any new model drops or capability demos in the next weeks could shift the tightly matched lower-tier outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$756শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 55% implied probability thanks to its October 2025 release and subsequent 2026 updates delivering synchronized native audio, stronger prompt adherence, photorealistic textures, and seamless integration with Gemini and YouTube tools. Close competition from Kling 3.0, Runway Gen-4.5, ByteDance Seedance 2.5, and Luma Ray3 creates the crowded field around 50% or lower, with each excelling in motion control, character consistency, or creative editing but lacking Google's broad ecosystem reach and benchmarked realism. Sora 2's API sunset and limited availability further weaken OpenAI's position. With resolution set for end of October, any new model drops or capability demos in the next weeks could shift the tightly matched lower-tier outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা