FIFA's repeated confirmations that Iran will compete as scheduled, combined with the team's ongoing preparations including a base camp shift to Mexico and partial visa resolutions for staff, underpin the near-certain "no replacement" outcome at 99.8% implied probability. Official statements from FIFA leadership and Iran's federation emphasize participation despite geopolitical tensions, while rejected proposals to insert Italy or others highlight the absence of any formal disqualification process. Traders price in this stability given FIFA statutes prioritizing qualified teams and the lack of recent developments triggering expulsion. A realistic shift would require an official Iranian withdrawal or FIFA ban tied to visa denials or broader conflicts, potentially elevating UAE or another AFC side per confederation rules.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo Replacement 99.8%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
Italy <1%
$96,312 Vol.
$96,312 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
100%
UAE
<1%
Other
<1%
Italy
<1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 99.8%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
Italy <1%
$96,312 Vol.
$96,312 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$38,526 Vol.
100%
UAE
$6,652 Vol.
<1%
Other
$6,625 Vol.
<1%
Italy
$40,874 Vol.
<1%
Bolivia
$3,634 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA's repeated confirmations that Iran will compete as scheduled, combined with the team's ongoing preparations including a base camp shift to Mexico and partial visa resolutions for staff, underpin the near-certain "no replacement" outcome at 99.8% implied probability. Official statements from FIFA leadership and Iran's federation emphasize participation despite geopolitical tensions, while rejected proposals to insert Italy or others highlight the absence of any formal disqualification process. Traders price in this stability given FIFA statutes prioritizing qualified teams and the lack of recent developments triggering expulsion. A realistic shift would require an official Iranian withdrawal or FIFA ban tied to visa denials or broader conflicts, potentially elevating UAE or another AFC side per confederation rules.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$96,312শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA's repeated confirmations that Iran will compete as scheduled, combined with the team's ongoing preparations including a base camp shift to Mexico and partial visa resolutions for staff, underpin the near-certain "no replacement" outcome at 99.8% implied probability. Official statements from FIFA leadership and Iran's federation emphasize participation despite geopolitical tensions, while rejected proposals to insert Italy or others highlight the absence of any formal disqualification process. Traders price in this stability given FIFA statutes prioritizing qualified teams and the lack of recent developments triggering expulsion. A realistic shift would require an official Iranian withdrawal or FIFA ban tied to visa denials or broader conflicts, potentially elevating UAE or another AFC side per confederation rules.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$96,312শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA's repeated confirmations that Iran will compete as scheduled, combined with the team's ongoing preparations including a base camp shift to Mexico and partial visa resolutions for staff, underpin the near-certain "no replacement" outcome at 99.8% implied probability. Official statements from FIFA leadership and Iran's federation emphasize participation despite geopolitical tensions, while rejected proposals to insert Italy or others highlight the absence of any formal disqualification process. Traders price in this stability given FIFA statutes prioritizing qualified teams and the lack of recent developments triggering expulsion. A realistic shift would require an official Iranian withdrawal or FIFA ban tied to visa denials or broader conflicts, potentially elevating UAE or another AFC side per confederation rules.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা