Anthropic’s Claude service has logged frequent short-duration outages throughout 2026, including multiple incidents on single days in August tied to elevated errors across models like Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5, plus upstream cloud provider problems affecting Claude Code, Cowork, API, and claude.ai. This track record of infrastructure strain amid surging demand for frontier large language models underpins trader consensus around 8–13 down days in September, with the narrow gap between the 8-10 and 11-13 buckets reflecting uncertainty over whether recent mitigations and capacity additions will meaningfully reduce incident frequency. Competitive pressure from rival AI platforms continues to drive rapid model releases that test scaling limits, while 90-day uptime figures above 99% mask the day-level impact of recurring partial degradations. Upcoming catalysts include any September model updates or regulatory scrutiny that could further influence reliability.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড8-10 35%
11-13 33%
5-7 20%
14+ 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
<5
4%
5-7
20%
8-10
35%
11-13
33%
14+
8%
8-10 35%
11-13 33%
5-7 20%
14+ 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
<5
$179 Vol.
4%
5-7
$5 Vol.
20%
8-10
$105 Vol.
35%
11-13
$213 Vol.
33%
14+
$93 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic’s Claude service has logged frequent short-duration outages throughout 2026, including multiple incidents on single days in August tied to elevated errors across models like Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5, plus upstream cloud provider problems affecting Claude Code, Cowork, API, and claude.ai. This track record of infrastructure strain amid surging demand for frontier large language models underpins trader consensus around 8–13 down days in September, with the narrow gap between the 8-10 and 11-13 buckets reflecting uncertainty over whether recent mitigations and capacity additions will meaningfully reduce incident frequency. Competitive pressure from rival AI platforms continues to drive rapid model releases that test scaling limits, while 90-day uptime figures above 99% mask the day-level impact of recurring partial degradations. Upcoming catalysts include any September model updates or regulatory scrutiny that could further influence reliability.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$596শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic’s Claude service has logged frequent short-duration outages throughout 2026, including multiple incidents on single days in August tied to elevated errors across models like Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5, plus upstream cloud provider problems affecting Claude Code, Cowork, API, and claude.ai. This track record of infrastructure strain amid surging demand for frontier large language models underpins trader consensus around 8–13 down days in September, with the narrow gap between the 8-10 and 11-13 buckets reflecting uncertainty over whether recent mitigations and capacity additions will meaningfully reduce incident frequency. Competitive pressure from rival AI platforms continues to drive rapid model releases that test scaling limits, while 90-day uptime figures above 99% mask the day-level impact of recurring partial degradations. Upcoming catalysts include any September model updates or regulatory scrutiny that could further influence reliability.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
ভলিউম
$596শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude service has logged frequent short-duration outages throughout 2026, including multiple incidents on single days in August tied to elevated errors across models like Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5, plus upstream cloud provider problems affecting Claude Code, Cowork, API, and claude.ai. This track record of infrastructure strain amid surging demand for frontier large language models underpins trader consensus around 8–13 down days in September, with the narrow gap between the 8-10 and 11-13 buckets reflecting uncertainty over whether recent mitigations and capacity additions will meaningfully reduce incident frequency. Competitive pressure from rival AI platforms continues to drive rapid model releases that test scaling limits, while 90-day uptime figures above 99% mask the day-level impact of recurring partial degradations. Upcoming catalysts include any September model updates or regulatory scrutiny that could further influence reliability.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা