Anthropic’s rapid 2026 release cadence, highlighted by Claude Opus 5 launching July 24 after Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 earlier that summer, drives trader expectations for the next Opus iteration. Recent minor updates like Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1, combined with unconfirmed routing leaks pointing to an Opus 5.2 drop as early as September 17–18, have pushed market-implied odds heavily toward late September. Competitive pressure from other labs’ frontier large language models and Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus refreshes with improved agentic capabilities and benchmarks reinforce the near-term consensus, though any delay in official confirmation or API identifiers could shift sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$132,343 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
79%
September 17
16%
September 20
21%
September 24
50%
September 27
65%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$132,343 Vol.
September 30
$63,950 Vol.
79%
September 17
$4,198 Vol.
16%
September 20
$1,467 Vol.
21%
September 24
$1,012 Vol.
50%
September 27
$1,553 Vol.
65%
October 31
$13,502 Vol.
98%
December 31
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid 2026 release cadence, highlighted by Claude Opus 5 launching July 24 after Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 earlier that summer, drives trader expectations for the next Opus iteration. Recent minor updates like Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1, combined with unconfirmed routing leaks pointing to an Opus 5.2 drop as early as September 17–18, have pushed market-implied odds heavily toward late September. Competitive pressure from other labs’ frontier large language models and Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus refreshes with improved agentic capabilities and benchmarks reinforce the near-term consensus, though any delay in official confirmation or API identifiers could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$132,343শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid 2026 release cadence, highlighted by Claude Opus 5 launching July 24 after Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 earlier that summer, drives trader expectations for the next Opus iteration. Recent minor updates like Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1, combined with unconfirmed routing leaks pointing to an Opus 5.2 drop as early as September 17–18, have pushed market-implied odds heavily toward late September. Competitive pressure from other labs’ frontier large language models and Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus refreshes with improved agentic capabilities and benchmarks reinforce the near-term consensus, though any delay in official confirmation or API identifiers could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$132,343শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid 2026 release cadence, highlighted by Claude Opus 5 launching July 24 after Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 earlier that summer, drives trader expectations for the next Opus iteration. Recent minor updates like Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1, combined with unconfirmed routing leaks pointing to an Opus 5.2 drop as early as September 17–18, have pushed market-implied odds heavily toward late September. Competitive pressure from other labs’ frontier large language models and Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus refreshes with improved agentic capabilities and benchmarks reinforce the near-term consensus, though any delay in official confirmation or API identifiers could shift sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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