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icon for U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

icon for U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

13% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket

$101,400 Vol.

13% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket

$101,400 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models. - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training. - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web. - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **No federal AI safety legislation has advanced to enactment in the 119th Congress, despite multiple introduced bills addressing frontier model oversight, transparency, and risk mitigation.** Congressional activity remains limited to early-stage proposals and hearings, while state legislatures have enacted over 100 AI-related measures in 2026 focused on chatbots, deepfakes, and algorithmic accountability. The Trump administration has pursued executive actions, including EO 14365 on a national AI framework and CAISI evaluation partnerships with developers, emphasizing minimal regulatory burden and national security testing rather than statutory mandates. Recent July 2026 proposals, such as Sen. Warner’s Secure AI Development Act, have not progressed through committees. With roughly four months remaining before 2027 and competing legislative priorities, the timeline offers little room for passage of comprehensive safety requirements. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and political barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.

- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.

- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.

- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$101,400
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models. - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training. - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web. - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models. - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training. - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web. - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **No federal AI safety legislation has advanced to enactment in the 119th Congress, despite multiple introduced bills addressing frontier model oversight, transparency, and risk mitigation.** Congressional activity remains limited to early-stage proposals and hearings, while state legislatures have enacted over 100 AI-related measures in 2026 focused on chatbots, deepfakes, and algorithmic accountability. The Trump administration has pursued executive actions, including EO 14365 on a national AI framework and CAISI evaluation partnerships with developers, emphasizing minimal regulatory burden and national security testing rather than statutory mandates. Recent July 2026 proposals, such as Sen. Warner’s Secure AI Development Act, have not progressed through committees. With roughly four months remaining before 2027 and competing legislative priorities, the timeline offers little room for passage of comprehensive safety requirements. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and political barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.

- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.

- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.

- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$101,400
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models. - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training. - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web. - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?" হলো Polymarket-এ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটবে কিনা তার ভিত্তিতে "Yes" বা "No" শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 13%। যেমন, "Yes" 13¢-এ মূল্যায়িত হলে, মার্কেট সম্মিলিতভাবে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 13% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। ট্রেডাররা নতুন ডেভেলপমেন্ট ও তথ্যে প্রতিক্রিয়া জানালে এই অডস ক্রমাগত পরিবর্তিত হয়। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?" মোট $101.4K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Nov 12, 2025-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, শুধু বেছে নিন আপনি বিশ্বাস করেন উত্তর "Yes" নাকি "No"। প্রতিটি সাইডের একটি বর্তমান দাম আছে যা মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিফলিত করে। আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। যদি আপনি "Yes" শেয়ার কেনেন এবং ফলাফল "Yes" হিসেবে রেজলভ হয়, প্রতিটি শেয়ার $1 দেয়। "No" হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার $0 দেয়। রেজোলিউশনের আগে যেকোনো সময় শেয়ার বিক্রিও করতে পারেন।

"U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?"-এর বর্তমান সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 13%। মানে Polymarket ক্রাউড বর্তমানে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 13% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। এই অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডের ভিত্তিতে রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।