Despite the Trump administration’s March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework and Senator Blackburn’s discussion draft of the TRUMP AMERICA AI Act, no comprehensive federal AI safety bill has advanced beyond committee in the divided 119th Congress. Lawmakers remain focused on appropriations, debt-ceiling negotiations, and the midterm calendar, leaving insufficient floor time before the August recess and lame-duck session. Bipartisan proposals such as the AI Guardrails Act and Protect American AI Act have stalled amid disagreements over regulatory scope, state-law preemption, and enforcement strength. Historical patterns show major technology legislation rarely clears both chambers in a single year without broad whip-count support, supporting traders’ 70.5 percent probability that no qualifying safety measure will be enacted by December 31, 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$98,190 Vol.
$98,190 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$98,190 Vol.
$98,190 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Despite the Trump administration’s March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework and Senator Blackburn’s discussion draft of the TRUMP AMERICA AI Act, no comprehensive federal AI safety bill has advanced beyond committee in the divided 119th Congress. Lawmakers remain focused on appropriations, debt-ceiling negotiations, and the midterm calendar, leaving insufficient floor time before the August recess and lame-duck session. Bipartisan proposals such as the AI Guardrails Act and Protect American AI Act have stalled amid disagreements over regulatory scope, state-law preemption, and enforcement strength. Historical patterns show major technology legislation rarely clears both chambers in a single year without broad whip-count support, supporting traders’ 70.5 percent probability that no qualifying safety measure will be enacted by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$98,190শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Despite the Trump administration’s March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework and Senator Blackburn’s discussion draft of the TRUMP AMERICA AI Act, no comprehensive federal AI safety bill has advanced beyond committee in the divided 119th Congress. Lawmakers remain focused on appropriations, debt-ceiling negotiations, and the midterm calendar, leaving insufficient floor time before the August recess and lame-duck session. Bipartisan proposals such as the AI Guardrails Act and Protect American AI Act have stalled amid disagreements over regulatory scope, state-law preemption, and enforcement strength. Historical patterns show major technology legislation rarely clears both chambers in a single year without broad whip-count support, supporting traders’ 70.5 percent probability that no qualifying safety measure will be enacted by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$98,190শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite the Trump administration’s March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework and Senator Blackburn’s discussion draft of the TRUMP AMERICA AI Act, no comprehensive federal AI safety bill has advanced beyond committee in the divided 119th Congress. Lawmakers remain focused on appropriations, debt-ceiling negotiations, and the midterm calendar, leaving insufficient floor time before the August recess and lame-duck session. Bipartisan proposals such as the AI Guardrails Act and Protect American AI Act have stalled amid disagreements over regulatory scope, state-law preemption, and enforcement strength. Historical patterns show major technology legislation rarely clears both chambers in a single year without broad whip-count support, supporting traders’ 70.5 percent probability that no qualifying safety measure will be enacted by December 31, 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা