Aktuelle Politik-News & Prognosen
14. Aug. 2026
Aktuelle News
Sieh dir die Polymärkte an, die sich in den letzten 24 Stunden am meisten bewegt haben

Wird Count Binface bei der Nachwahl zum Parlament in Clacton 20–30 % der Stimmen gewinnen?


Wird Catalina Lauf die republikanische Kandidatin für FL-19 sein?


Wird Nigel Farage die Nachwahl 2026 in Clacton mit 60 % oder mehr gewinnen?

Wird es nach der Sitzung der Fed im Dezember 2026 keine Änderung bei den Zinssätzen geben?
Tägliche Updates
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Neuer Polymarkt
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group?
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Joe Rogan warns Texas Republicans that cracking down on hemp-derived THC could turn the state blue — says “the kids will turn on you.”

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U.S. to unveil “unprecedented” economic isolation measures against Iran next week.
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Building roughly 650 feet from the White House reportedly purchased by a former CCP intelligence official.
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World War II Memorial in D.C. vandalized with graffiti, prompting a federal investigation.
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11 year old boy steals his family’s emergency savings & spends $2,000 on Roblox gift cards at Walmart.
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22 states sue to block Trump administration access to 17 million truckers’ records as part of its crackdown on illegal immigrant truck drivers.
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Tom Holland now on pace to become the highest-grossing male actor ever.

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Trump orders the Navy to replace newer electromagnetic launch systems with older steam catapults.
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Trump to host youth athletic competition “The Patriot Games” tonight at 9 PM ET on ABC News.
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Tobey Maguire's Spider-Man projected to appear in Avengers: Doomsday. 90% chance.

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Apple now sends alerts directly to iPhones when it detects government-grade spyware like Pegasus targeting a user.
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Los Angeles County agrees to speed up concealed-carry gun licensing to settle a DOJ 2nd Amendment lawsuit.
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UK PM Andy Burnham declares wealthier areas need to “play their part” in housing asylum seekers, rather than concentrating them in poorer communities.
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California could become the first state to add “Jewish” as an optional ethnic identity on government forms.
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SEC cancels Friday meeting where it was expected to unveil a new crypto regulatory framework.
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PayPal Honey has reportedly lost over 7 million users & roughly 7,000 stores after a viral exposé accused it of diverting affiliate commissions from creators.
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Man caught hiding prompt injections in legal filings designed to manipulate any AI system used to review the case into agreeing with him.
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Federal judge dismisses Trump administration’s $2.6B lawsuit alleging Harvard failed to protect Jewish students from discrimination.
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ChatGPT can now remember users’ activity across apps & websites.
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Trump imposes tariffs of up to 100% on foreign-made drones & drone components.
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Fitch keeps the U.S. sovereign credit rating at “AA+”
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JD Vance warns Republicans not to “blame young people for being sympathetic to socialism” if the GOP fails to improve their lives economically.
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U.S. 30-year Treasury auction clears at 5.216%, the highest rate in 25 years.
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Kennedy Center board votes to put Trump’s name back on the building after federal judge ordered it removed, adding the inscription “Restored and Renovated by President Donald J. Trump.”
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S&P 500 closes at record high.
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Dozens of Andrew Tate supporters stage a “Free Top G” protest in Miami demanding he & brother Tristan be released from federal custody.

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Los Angeles opens a new “tiny home” village with 84 units for more than 200 homeless residents.
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AOC's latest financial disclosures reveals she has student loan debt dating back to 2007, has a net worth < $100k.
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Boeing ordered to pay $29 million to the family of a victim killed in the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash.
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Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson demands a moratorium on AI data centers.
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One of Europe’s biggest travel operators warns Spain & Italy are nearing tourism capacity, with Spain “almost fully sold out.”
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Geophysicist who correctly predicted Colombia's 7.4 mag earthquake warns California may be next. 2% chance.
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Cuba throws weeklong party to celebrate Fidel Castro’s 100th birthday.
Neuer Polymarkt
Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring?
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USS Abraham Lincoln reportedly set to be replaced by the USS George Washington after almost nine months deployed.
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Google no longer projected to release its next Gemini Pro AI model by the end of the month. 34% chance.
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War Secretary Pete Hegseth declares the U.S. can maintain its naval blockade of Iran “indefinitely.”
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𝕏 open-sources its For You timeline algorithm.
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Dominican Republic expels 9 Cuban diplomatic officials as tensions with Havana rise.
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Human Rights Watch claims the Trump administration has “gutted” federal civil rights enforcement across major agencies.
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Selena Gomez accused of fraud by investors in her collapsed mental-health startup, Wondermind.
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Massive oil spill off Oman now covers an estimated 500 square miles & has reached the mainland.
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AMD is reportedly looking to raise up to $5,000,000,000.00 in a debt offering as AI investment accelerates.
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“Call Her Daddy” host Alex Cooper is shutting down her Unwell beverage brand less than two years after launch.
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OpenAI unveils “Ultrafast” mode for GPT-5.6 Sol, running up to 1,300% faster than standard.
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ICE arrests inside the U.S. have surged to nearly 50,000 per month, now double the Obama-era peak.
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OpenAI Chief Revenue Officer Denise Dresser is leaving the company less than a year after joining.
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Seoul’s Incheon Airport overtakes Dubai to become the world’s busiest international airport amid Iran disruptions.
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Michael Burry doubles down on his Nvidia short, warning their $500B AI deal has “shades of Enron.”

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U.S. prescription drug prices record sharpest annual drop since 1963.
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Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport to install foot-washing stations inside Terminal D bathrooms.
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AOC overtakes Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential odds for the first time this year, moving into second place. 13% chance AOC wins the White House.

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5 non-citizens charged in Michigan with illegally voting in the 2024 election, as 22 other suspected cases remain under review.
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Panda Express is hiring a government relations executive director to lead lobbying & public policy efforts.
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Federal data reveals U.S. foodborne illness cases are up nearly 400% this year compared with the recent annual average.
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Experimental Chinese bullet train breaks world acceleration record, going from 0 to 800 km/h in 5.3 seconds.
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Texas podcaster faces up to six months in jail for using profanity at a local government hearing.
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U.S. fully resumes avocado export inspections in Mexico’s top avocado hub after suspending operations over cartel threats.
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Developer builds messaging app that sends texts at “pigeon speed” to simulate carrier pigeon delivery — taking roughly 22 hours from Los Angeles to New York.
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Databricks valuation surges to $190,000,000,000.00 in latest funding round.
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WNBA task force meets to discuss what qualifies someone as a woman for league eligibility, but reaches no new rules.
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U.S. government reportedly plans up to $1,000,000,000.00 more in funding for X-Energy’s advanced nuclear project in Texas.