Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 84.5% implied probability for any MrBeast main-channel video hitting 100 million views in its first week by June 30, driven by recent uploads consistently falling short of that benchmark. The April 4 "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" reached about 58 million by day three and stabilized around 80-90 million in week one per tracking data, while the May 2 "I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000" hit roughly 88-91 million total by day nine, implying sub-90 million first-week performance. Day-one views hover at 35-40 million amid YouTube algorithm shifts and competition from viral shorts, with no signs of a format pivot to reignite explosive growth. Upcoming uploads could shift odds if they debut massive stunts, but historical trajectories favor the under.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 28, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 84.5% implied probability for any MrBeast main-channel video hitting 100 million views in its first week by June 30, driven by recent uploads consistently falling short of that benchmark. The April 4 "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" reached about 58 million by day three and stabilized around 80-90 million in week one per tracking data, while the May 2 "I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000" hit roughly 88-91 million total by day nine, implying sub-90 million first-week performance. Day-one views hover at 35-40 million amid YouTube algorithm shifts and competition from viral shorts, with no signs of a format pivot to reignite explosive growth. Upcoming uploads could shift odds if they debut massive stunts, but historical trajectories favor the under.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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