The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a deep, balanced field where no single player holds a decisive edge heading into the opening round, producing tightly bunched market prices across dozens of contenders for second-round leader. Pre-tournament uncertainty around variable winds, firm conditions, and the course's historical tendency for low-scoring surprises or shared leads after 36 holes supports the even distribution, as seen in past Shinnecock Opens. Recent form from players like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Russell Henley, combined with established major performers such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, creates multiple realistic paths to an early lead through strong ball-striking and putting streaks. This setup leaves room for dark horses or mid-tier names to surge on favorable draws while limiting any one golfer's implied probability in trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJason Day 97%
Lucas Herbert 97%
Cameron Smith 97%
Carlos Ortiz 97%
Jason Day
97%
Lucas Herbert
97%
Cameron Smith
97%
Carlos Ortiz
97%
Shane Lowry
97%
Adam Scott
97%
Jake Knapp
95%
Joaquin Niemann
95%
Gary Woodland
67%
Michael Kim
66%
Jordan Spieth
65%
Daniel Berger
53%
Dustin Johnson
52%
Tommy Fleetwood
44%
Harris English
44%
Bryson DeChambeau
44%
J.J. Spaun
44%
Scottie Scheffler
43%
Patrick Cantlay
43%
Wyndham Clark
43%
Alex Noren
43%
Xander Schauffele
43%
Nicolai Højgaard
43%
Si Woo Kim
42%
Rory McIlroy
42%
Chris Gotterup
42%
Jon Rahm
42%
Ludvig Åberg
42%
Matt Fitzpatrick
42%
Kristoffer Reitan
41%
Jacob Bridgeman
41%
Aaron Rai
41%
Kurt Kitayama
41%
Min Woo Lee
40%
Rickie Fowler
40%
Cameron Young
40%
Russell Henley
40%
Ryan Gerard
39%
J.T. Poston
39%
Collin Morikawa
38%
Sepp Straka
38%
Ben Griffin
38%
Alex Smalley
38%
Bud Cauley
38%
Keegan Bradley
37%
Akshay Bhatia
36%
Viktor Hovland
35%
Tyrrell Hatton
32%
Robert MacIntyre
31%
Patrick Reed
25%
Sam Burns
23%
Justin Rose
20%
Maverick McNealy
39%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Justin Thomas
41%
Hideki Matsuyama
27%
Jason Day 97%
Lucas Herbert 97%
Cameron Smith 97%
Carlos Ortiz 97%
Jason Day
97%
Lucas Herbert
97%
Cameron Smith
97%
Carlos Ortiz
97%
Shane Lowry
97%
Adam Scott
97%
Jake Knapp
95%
Joaquin Niemann
95%
Gary Woodland
67%
Michael Kim
66%
Jordan Spieth
65%
Daniel Berger
53%
Dustin Johnson
52%
Tommy Fleetwood
44%
Harris English
44%
Bryson DeChambeau
44%
J.J. Spaun
44%
Scottie Scheffler
43%
Patrick Cantlay
43%
Wyndham Clark
43%
Alex Noren
43%
Xander Schauffele
43%
Nicolai Højgaard
43%
Si Woo Kim
42%
Rory McIlroy
42%
Chris Gotterup
42%
Jon Rahm
42%
Ludvig Åberg
42%
Matt Fitzpatrick
42%
Kristoffer Reitan
41%
Jacob Bridgeman
41%
Aaron Rai
41%
Kurt Kitayama
41%
Min Woo Lee
40%
Rickie Fowler
40%
Cameron Young
40%
Russell Henley
40%
Ryan Gerard
39%
J.T. Poston
39%
Collin Morikawa
38%
Sepp Straka
38%
Ben Griffin
38%
Alex Smalley
38%
Bud Cauley
38%
Keegan Bradley
37%
Akshay Bhatia
36%
Viktor Hovland
35%
Tyrrell Hatton
32%
Robert MacIntyre
31%
Patrick Reed
25%
Sam Burns
23%
Justin Rose
20%
Maverick McNealy
39%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Justin Thomas
41%
Hideki Matsuyama
27%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a deep, balanced field where no single player holds a decisive edge heading into the opening round, producing tightly bunched market prices across dozens of contenders for second-round leader. Pre-tournament uncertainty around variable winds, firm conditions, and the course's historical tendency for low-scoring surprises or shared leads after 36 holes supports the even distribution, as seen in past Shinnecock Opens. Recent form from players like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Russell Henley, combined with established major performers such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, creates multiple realistic paths to an early lead through strong ball-striking and putting streaks. This setup leaves room for dark horses or mid-tier names to surge on favorable draws while limiting any one golfer's implied probability in trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen