Recent reports of Anthropic exploring a potential $900 billion-plus valuation in its next private funding round have lifted trader expectations for a strong IPO outcome later this year. The company’s Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction, supported by massive compute deals with Google and Amazon plus annualized revenue approaching $30 billion. Yet no SEC registration has been filed, leaving room for delays or shifts in market conditions that could compress the closing market cap into lower buckets. Upcoming board decisions on the round and any formal IPO preparations remain the primary near-term catalysts shaping the wide distribution of implied probabilities across sub-$600 billion to over-$1.8 trillion outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1.8T+ 33%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$47,744 Vol.
$47,744 Vol.
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
33%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 33%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$47,744 Vol.
$47,744 Vol.
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
33%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of Anthropic exploring a potential $900 billion-plus valuation in its next private funding round have lifted trader expectations for a strong IPO outcome later this year. The company’s Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction, supported by massive compute deals with Google and Amazon plus annualized revenue approaching $30 billion. Yet no SEC registration has been filed, leaving room for delays or shifts in market conditions that could compress the closing market cap into lower buckets. Upcoming board decisions on the round and any formal IPO preparations remain the primary near-term catalysts shaping the wide distribution of implied probabilities across sub-$600 billion to over-$1.8 trillion outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen