Anthropic's rapid revenue expansion—from roughly $9 billion ARR at the end of 2025 to over $47 billion by May 2026—combined with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation has driven trader consensus toward an outsized IPO outcome. The company's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and reports of targeting a $2 trillion listing later this year, potentially in October, further support the 70.5% implied probability on the 1.8T+ bracket. Strong hyperscaler backing, Claude model adoption, and forward revenue projections reaching $190–200 billion by 2028 underpin expectations of premium public-market multiples, while the low odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect the advanced regulatory preparation and market conditions favoring a near-term debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1.8T+ 70%
1.5–1.8T 16.2%
1.2–1.5T 5.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.3%
$312,232 Vol.
$312,232 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
4%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
16%
1.8T+
70%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 70%
1.5–1.8T 16.2%
1.2–1.5T 5.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.3%
$312,232 Vol.
$312,232 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<0.6T
$17,065 Vol.
2%
0.6–0.9T
$22,630 Vol.
2%
0.9–1.2T
$21,306 Vol.
4%
1.2–1.5T
$29,323 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.8T
$25,568 Vol.
16%
1.8T+
$152,058 Vol.
70%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$44,282 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's rapid revenue expansion—from roughly $9 billion ARR at the end of 2025 to over $47 billion by May 2026—combined with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation has driven trader consensus toward an outsized IPO outcome. The company's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and reports of targeting a $2 trillion listing later this year, potentially in October, further support the 70.5% implied probability on the 1.8T+ bracket. Strong hyperscaler backing, Claude model adoption, and forward revenue projections reaching $190–200 billion by 2028 underpin expectations of premium public-market multiples, while the low odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect the advanced regulatory preparation and market conditions favoring a near-term debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volumen
$312,232Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's rapid revenue expansion—from roughly $9 billion ARR at the end of 2025 to over $47 billion by May 2026—combined with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation has driven trader consensus toward an outsized IPO outcome. The company's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and reports of targeting a $2 trillion listing later this year, potentially in October, further support the 70.5% implied probability on the 1.8T+ bracket. Strong hyperscaler backing, Claude model adoption, and forward revenue projections reaching $190–200 billion by 2028 underpin expectations of premium public-market multiples, while the low odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect the advanced regulatory preparation and market conditions favoring a near-term debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$312,232Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's rapid revenue expansion—from roughly $9 billion ARR at the end of 2025 to over $47 billion by May 2026—combined with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation has driven trader consensus toward an outsized IPO outcome. The company's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and reports of targeting a $2 trillion listing later this year, potentially in October, further support the 70.5% implied probability on the 1.8T+ bracket. Strong hyperscaler backing, Claude model adoption, and forward revenue projections reaching $190–200 billion by 2028 underpin expectations of premium public-market multiples, while the low odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect the advanced regulatory preparation and market conditions favoring a near-term debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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