Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the closing market cap, with implied probabilities spread across $1.25–$2.75 trillion buckets reflecting uncertainty over public-market multiples. Explosive revenue growth—$4.8 billion in Q1 2026 scaling toward a $10.9 billion Q2 run rate and $47 billion annualized—supports elevated valuations, yet contested odds highlight sensitivity to AI sector sentiment, comparable listings, and the timing of any debut potentially in 2026 or later. Strong institutional backing from Amazon and Google, combined with first-quarter profitability expectations, bolsters the upper range, while broader market conditions and regulatory or competitive developments could compress outcomes toward lower buckets or delay the event beyond 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1.25–$1.5T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 16%
$1.5–$1.75T 14.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 14%
<$1.25T
9%
$1.25–$1.5T
17%
$1.5–$1.75T
14%
$1.75–$2.0T
12%
$2.0–$2.25T
6%
$2.25–$2.5T
14%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
$1.25–$1.5T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 16%
$1.5–$1.75T 14.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 14%
<$1.25T
9%
$1.25–$1.5T
17%
$1.5–$1.75T
14%
$1.75–$2.0T
12%
$2.0–$2.25T
6%
$2.25–$2.5T
14%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the closing market cap, with implied probabilities spread across $1.25–$2.75 trillion buckets reflecting uncertainty over public-market multiples. Explosive revenue growth—$4.8 billion in Q1 2026 scaling toward a $10.9 billion Q2 run rate and $47 billion annualized—supports elevated valuations, yet contested odds highlight sensitivity to AI sector sentiment, comparable listings, and the timing of any debut potentially in 2026 or later. Strong institutional backing from Amazon and Google, combined with first-quarter profitability expectations, bolsters the upper range, while broader market conditions and regulatory or competitive developments could compress outcomes toward lower buckets or delay the event beyond 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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