Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 87.5% implied probability, propelled by reports over the past 48 hours of the company negotiating a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion pre-IPO valuation—more than doubling its February 2026 $380 billion mark from the prior $30 billion raise. Surging enterprise adoption of Claude, Anthropic's frontier large language model, alongside annualized revenue reportedly hitting $30 billion, has fueled pre-IPO trading implying up to $1.2 trillion valuations onchain platforms. A no-IPO by end-2027 outcome lingers at 10.5% amid Q4 2026 listing talks, while lower brackets under 5% reflect minimal doubt in AI-driven hypergrowth. Watch for funding closure or IPO banker hires as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert600 Mrd.+ 88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 11%
400–600 Mrd. 1.6%
300–400 Mrd. <1%
$297,523 Vol.
$297,523 Vol.
<100 Mrd. $
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
<1%
300–400 Mrd.
<1%
400–600 Mrd.
2%
600 Mrd.+
88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
11%
600 Mrd.+ 88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 11%
400–600 Mrd. 1.6%
300–400 Mrd. <1%
$297,523 Vol.
$297,523 Vol.
<100 Mrd. $
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
<1%
300–400 Mrd.
<1%
400–600 Mrd.
2%
600 Mrd.+
88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
11%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 87.5% implied probability, propelled by reports over the past 48 hours of the company negotiating a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion pre-IPO valuation—more than doubling its February 2026 $380 billion mark from the prior $30 billion raise. Surging enterprise adoption of Claude, Anthropic's frontier large language model, alongside annualized revenue reportedly hitting $30 billion, has fueled pre-IPO trading implying up to $1.2 trillion valuations onchain platforms. A no-IPO by end-2027 outcome lingers at 10.5% amid Q4 2026 listing talks, while lower brackets under 5% reflect minimal doubt in AI-driven hypergrowth. Watch for funding closure or IPO banker hires as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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