Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, paired with its late-May $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, underpins the market’s overwhelming 90.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, strong enterprise adoption of Claude models, and hyperscaler partnerships have driven valuation multiples well above prior private rounds and ahead of OpenAI. Traders view the filing as confirmation that Anthropic will list at a scale consistent with its current private pricing. A meaningful shift away from the 600B+ bracket would require IPO delays beyond 2027, unexpected regulatory setbacks, or a broad tech-market correction severe enough to compress multiples at listing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert600B+ 92%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 7.1%
400–600B 1.2%
300–400B <1%
$390,253 Vol.
$390,253 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
92%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
7%
600B+ 92%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 7.1%
400–600B 1.2%
300–400B <1%
$390,253 Vol.
$390,253 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<100B
$146,093 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$71,423 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$18,309 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$67,857 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$20,592 Vol.
1%
600B+
$40,260 Vol.
92%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$25,719 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, paired with its late-May $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, underpins the market’s overwhelming 90.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, strong enterprise adoption of Claude models, and hyperscaler partnerships have driven valuation multiples well above prior private rounds and ahead of OpenAI. Traders view the filing as confirmation that Anthropic will list at a scale consistent with its current private pricing. A meaningful shift away from the 600B+ bracket would require IPO delays beyond 2027, unexpected regulatory setbacks, or a broad tech-market correction severe enough to compress multiples at listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volumen
$390,253Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, paired with its late-May $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, underpins the market’s overwhelming 90.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, strong enterprise adoption of Claude models, and hyperscaler partnerships have driven valuation multiples well above prior private rounds and ahead of OpenAI. Traders view the filing as confirmation that Anthropic will list at a scale consistent with its current private pricing. A meaningful shift away from the 600B+ bracket would require IPO delays beyond 2027, unexpected regulatory setbacks, or a broad tech-market correction severe enough to compress multiples at listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$390,253Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, paired with its late-May $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, underpins the market’s overwhelming 90.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion run rate, strong enterprise adoption of Claude models, and hyperscaler partnerships have driven valuation multiples well above prior private rounds and ahead of OpenAI. Traders view the filing as confirmation that Anthropic will list at a scale consistent with its current private pricing. A meaningful shift away from the 600B+ bracket would require IPO delays beyond 2027, unexpected regulatory setbacks, or a broad tech-market correction severe enough to compress multiples at listing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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