Apple’s official invitation to its “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9 has become the dominant factor behind the 74.5% market-implied odds that a foldable iPhone will be announced. The company explicitly linked the event to the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable model, widely expected to be called iPhone Ultra, with a book-style design featuring roughly 5.5-inch outer and 7.8-inch inner displays. Credible supply-chain and analyst reporting, including from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman, has reinforced that the device remains on track despite earlier manufacturing chatter, with features such as a titanium frame, reduced crease, and Touch ID in the power button. The event, occurring just days from now under incoming CEO John Ternus, serves as the immediate catalyst that traders are pricing in.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
94% Chance
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
Ja
94% Chance
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official invitation to its “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9 has become the dominant factor behind the 74.5% market-implied odds that a foldable iPhone will be announced. The company explicitly linked the event to the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable model, widely expected to be called iPhone Ultra, with a book-style design featuring roughly 5.5-inch outer and 7.8-inch inner displays. Credible supply-chain and analyst reporting, including from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman, has reinforced that the device remains on track despite earlier manufacturing chatter, with features such as a titanium frame, reduced crease, and Touch ID in the power button. The event, occurring just days from now under incoming CEO John Ternus, serves as the immediate catalyst that traders are pricing in.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Volumen
$55Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official invitation to its “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9 has become the dominant factor behind the 74.5% market-implied odds that a foldable iPhone will be announced. The company explicitly linked the event to the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable model, widely expected to be called iPhone Ultra, with a book-style design featuring roughly 5.5-inch outer and 7.8-inch inner displays. Credible supply-chain and analyst reporting, including from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman, has reinforced that the device remains on track despite earlier manufacturing chatter, with features such as a titanium frame, reduced crease, and Touch ID in the power button. The event, occurring just days from now under incoming CEO John Ternus, serves as the immediate catalyst that traders are pricing in.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$55Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Apple’s official invitation to its “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9 has become the dominant factor behind the 74.5% market-implied odds that a foldable iPhone will be announced. The company explicitly linked the event to the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable model, widely expected to be called iPhone Ultra, with a book-style design featuring roughly 5.5-inch outer and 7.8-inch inner displays. Credible supply-chain and analyst reporting, including from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman, has reinforced that the device remains on track despite earlier manufacturing chatter, with features such as a titanium frame, reduced crease, and Touch ID in the power button. The event, occurring just days from now under incoming CEO John Ternus, serves as the immediate catalyst that traders are pricing in.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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