The Bank of Israel’s most recent July 6 decision lowered the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.50 percent, its lowest level since 2022, following a May cut amid inflation holding near the 1–3 percent target midpoint at 1.9 percent year-over-year and a strong shekel supporting imported price stability. Economic recovery signals, including projected 4 percent GDP growth for 2026, and the return of Israel’s risk premium to pre-2023 levels have reinforced trader expectations for a pause, reflected in the 75 percent market-implied probability of no change. The subsequent shift of the planned late-August meeting to September 1 due to scheduling further supports a hold scenario in the near term, while the modest 23.5 percent odds attached to a 25 basis point cut price in the possibility of continued gradual easing if incoming data confirm disinflation without renewed geopolitical pressures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKeine Änderung 76%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte 24%
Senkung um 50+ Basispunkte <1%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte <1%
$72,931 Vol.
$72,931 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
Senkung um 50+ Basispunkte
1%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte
24%
Keine Änderung
76%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte
<1%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte
1%
Keine Änderung 76%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte 24%
Senkung um 50+ Basispunkte <1%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte <1%
$72,931 Vol.
$72,931 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
Senkung um 50+ Basispunkte
$3,099 Vol.
1%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte
$17,995 Vol.
24%
Keine Änderung
$47,509 Vol.
76%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte
$2,085 Vol.
<1%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte
$2,243 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Bank of Israel’s most recent July 6 decision lowered the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.50 percent, its lowest level since 2022, following a May cut amid inflation holding near the 1–3 percent target midpoint at 1.9 percent year-over-year and a strong shekel supporting imported price stability. Economic recovery signals, including projected 4 percent GDP growth for 2026, and the return of Israel’s risk premium to pre-2023 levels have reinforced trader expectations for a pause, reflected in the 75 percent market-implied probability of no change. The subsequent shift of the planned late-August meeting to September 1 due to scheduling further supports a hold scenario in the near term, while the modest 23.5 percent odds attached to a 25 basis point cut price in the possibility of continued gradual easing if incoming data confirm disinflation without renewed geopolitical pressures.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volumen
$72,931Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Bank of Israel’s most recent July 6 decision lowered the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.50 percent, its lowest level since 2022, following a May cut amid inflation holding near the 1–3 percent target midpoint at 1.9 percent year-over-year and a strong shekel supporting imported price stability. Economic recovery signals, including projected 4 percent GDP growth for 2026, and the return of Israel’s risk premium to pre-2023 levels have reinforced trader expectations for a pause, reflected in the 75 percent market-implied probability of no change. The subsequent shift of the planned late-August meeting to September 1 due to scheduling further supports a hold scenario in the near term, while the modest 23.5 percent odds attached to a 25 basis point cut price in the possibility of continued gradual easing if incoming data confirm disinflation without renewed geopolitical pressures.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volumen
$72,931Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Israel’s most recent July 6 decision lowered the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.50 percent, its lowest level since 2022, following a May cut amid inflation holding near the 1–3 percent target midpoint at 1.9 percent year-over-year and a strong shekel supporting imported price stability. Economic recovery signals, including projected 4 percent GDP growth for 2026, and the return of Israel’s risk premium to pre-2023 levels have reinforced trader expectations for a pause, reflected in the 75 percent market-implied probability of no change. The subsequent shift of the planned late-August meeting to September 1 due to scheduling further supports a hold scenario in the near term, while the modest 23.5 percent odds attached to a 25 basis point cut price in the possibility of continued gradual easing if incoming data confirm disinflation without renewed geopolitical pressures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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