Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin state election place Die Linke between 18% and 22%, with the party leading or tied in several surveys including Forsa and Infratest dimap amid a fragmented field where CDU, AfD, and Greens cluster nearby. This positioning reflects Linke's gains from earlier lows, sustained support under candidate Elif Eralp, and limited damage from recent events such as the citywide power outage, while the CDU-SPD governing coalition trails overall. Trader consensus around 20-23% captures the narrow band between current averages and potential late swings from turnout or coalition signaling, with separation likely hinging on final-week mobilization or shifts among undecided voters in a contest where no two-party majority appears assured.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert20–23 % 40%
23 %+ 38%
17–20 % 21%
<17% 7%
$10,582 Vol.
$10,582 Vol.
<17%
7%
17–20 %
21%
20–23 %
40%
23 %+
34%
20–23 % 40%
23 %+ 38%
17–20 % 21%
<17% 7%
$10,582 Vol.
$10,582 Vol.
<17%
7%
17–20 %
21%
20–23 %
40%
23 %+
34%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin state election place Die Linke between 18% and 22%, with the party leading or tied in several surveys including Forsa and Infratest dimap amid a fragmented field where CDU, AfD, and Greens cluster nearby. This positioning reflects Linke's gains from earlier lows, sustained support under candidate Elif Eralp, and limited damage from recent events such as the citywide power outage, while the CDU-SPD governing coalition trails overall. Trader consensus around 20-23% captures the narrow band between current averages and potential late swings from turnout or coalition signaling, with separation likely hinging on final-week mobilization or shifts among undecided voters in a contest where no two-party majority appears assured.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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