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icon for Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?
Technik·Klausel 5

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

icon for Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?
Technik·Klausel 5

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

NEU
22. Juni 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

June 22

$0 Vol.

12%

June 30

$0 Vol.

25%

In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls issued shortly after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5—an advanced large language model from Anthropic with state-of-the-art cybersecurity and biology capabilities—drove the immediate global suspension of access on June 12 to comply with directives limiting use by foreign nationals. Traders see this national security order, which also halted the safer Claude Fable 5 variant, as the core factor behind current outage odds, amid ongoing US-China AI tensions and Anthropic’s Project Glasswing partnerships. Resolution hinges on safeguard enhancements, regulatory negotiations, or a trusted access program expansion, with older Claude models remaining available in the interim.

In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 17, 2026, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls issued shortly after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5—an advanced large language model from Anthropic with state-of-the-art cybersecurity and biology capabilities—drove the immediate global suspension of access on June 12 to comply with directives limiting use by foreign nationals. Traders see this national security order, which also halted the safer Claude Fable 5 variant, as the core factor behind current outage odds, amid ongoing US-China AI tensions and Anthropic’s Project Glasswing partnerships. Resolution hinges on safeguard enhancements, regulatory negotiations, or a trusted access program expansion, with older Claude models remaining available in the interim.

In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 17, 2026, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „June 30" mit 25%, gefolgt von „June 22" mit 12%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 25¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?" ist „June 30" mit 25%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „June 22" mit 12%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.