Anthropic’s earlier confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, and subsequent plans for an October or late-2026 debut have anchored trader consensus at 85.5% probability it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The Claude developer’s recent $65 billion funding round at a near-$1 trillion valuation and active banker discussions signaled faster execution readiness. In contrast, OpenAI’s June 8 filing was followed by reports of a potential 2027 delay amid market softness, ongoing losses, and a preference for higher valuation stability. These timelines, combined with typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows for large AI companies, explain the pronounced market-implied odds favoring Anthropic while leaving room for last-minute regulatory or macroeconomic shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnthropic
86% Chance
$280,694 Vol.
$280,694 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Anthropic
86% Chance
$280,694 Vol.
$280,694 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, and subsequent plans for an October or late-2026 debut have anchored trader consensus at 85.5% probability it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The Claude developer’s recent $65 billion funding round at a near-$1 trillion valuation and active banker discussions signaled faster execution readiness. In contrast, OpenAI’s June 8 filing was followed by reports of a potential 2027 delay amid market softness, ongoing losses, and a preference for higher valuation stability. These timelines, combined with typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows for large AI companies, explain the pronounced market-implied odds favoring Anthropic while leaving room for last-minute regulatory or macroeconomic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$280,694Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, and subsequent plans for an October or late-2026 debut have anchored trader consensus at 85.5% probability it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The Claude developer’s recent $65 billion funding round at a near-$1 trillion valuation and active banker discussions signaled faster execution readiness. In contrast, OpenAI’s June 8 filing was followed by reports of a potential 2027 delay amid market softness, ongoing losses, and a preference for higher valuation stability. These timelines, combined with typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows for large AI companies, explain the pronounced market-implied odds favoring Anthropic while leaving room for last-minute regulatory or macroeconomic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$280,694Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s earlier confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, and subsequent plans for an October or late-2026 debut have anchored trader consensus at 85.5% probability it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The Claude developer’s recent $65 billion funding round at a near-$1 trillion valuation and active banker discussions signaled faster execution readiness. In contrast, OpenAI’s June 8 filing was followed by reports of a potential 2027 delay amid market softness, ongoing losses, and a preference for higher valuation stability. These timelines, combined with typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows for large AI companies, explain the pronounced market-implied odds favoring Anthropic while leaving room for last-minute regulatory or macroeconomic shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von Anthropic am Handelsschluss am Tag des Börsengangs bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 600 Mrd. $ oder mehr betragen?
96%
Ja
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
38%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
20%
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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