Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 83.5% implied probability for the lead-left role in OpenAI’s eventual IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead underwriter on the SpaceX offering and its primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing earlier this year. The two banks have handled key bookrunning duties for the artificial-intelligence company’s preparations, while Goldman’s stronger allocation influence and execution track record in major tech debuts give it the edge. Morgan Stanley sits at 12.5% on its comparable involvement with both OpenAI and Anthropic. Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruling out a 2026 listing in favor of 2027 due to AI safety priorities has delayed the timeline without altering reported banker assignments, leaving the outcome dependent on future official disclosures once OpenAI advances its public offering.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 84%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,372 Vol.
$51,372 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
84%

Morgan Stanley
13%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 84%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,372 Vol.
$51,372 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
84%

Morgan Stanley
13%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 83.5% implied probability for the lead-left role in OpenAI’s eventual IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead underwriter on the SpaceX offering and its primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing earlier this year. The two banks have handled key bookrunning duties for the artificial-intelligence company’s preparations, while Goldman’s stronger allocation influence and execution track record in major tech debuts give it the edge. Morgan Stanley sits at 12.5% on its comparable involvement with both OpenAI and Anthropic. Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruling out a 2026 listing in favor of 2027 due to AI safety priorities has delayed the timeline without altering reported banker assignments, leaving the outcome dependent on future official disclosures once OpenAI advances its public offering.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen