Skip to main content
icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Technik·OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Technik·OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 71%

Morgan Stanley 7%

UBS 5.7%

Deutsche Bank 3.9%

Polymarket

$21,601 Vol.

Goldman Sachs 71%

Morgan Stanley 7%

UBS 5.7%

Deutsche Bank 3.9%

Polymarket

$21,601 Vol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$2,625 Vol.

71%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$2,513 Vol.

7%

icon for UBS

UBS

$2,059 Vol.

6%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$7,131 Vol.

4%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$1,665 Vol.

3%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$1,852 Vol.

3%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$1,458 Vol.

2%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$1,016 Vol.

1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$1,282 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$21,601
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$21,601
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Goldman Sachs" mit 71%, gefolgt von „Morgan Stanley" mit 7%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 71¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $21.6K generiert, seit der Markt am May 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ist „Goldman Sachs" mit 71%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Morgan Stanley" mit 7%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.