OpenAI's March 2026 close of a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation has anchored trader sentiment around a blockbuster IPO expected as early as Q4 2026, driving the 68.8% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Strong demand from major technology investors, combined with projected revenue growth from ChatGPT and enterprise AI services, supports expectations that the company will command premium pricing at listing despite ongoing losses exceeding $10 billion annually. Recent reports of missed internal targets have introduced modest uncertainty, reflected in the 23% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, yet the absence of regulatory or structural delays keeps the path to a high-valuation debut the dominant scenario priced by real-money markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
1,5T+ 67.8%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 20%
1–1,25 Billionen 9%
750 Mrd.–1 Bio. 7%
$16,670 Vol.
$16,670 Vol.
<500 Mrd.
2%
500–750 Mrd.
3%
750 Mrd.–1 Bio.
7%
1–1,25 Billionen
25%
1,25T–1,5T
7%
1,5T+
68%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
20%
1,5T+ 67.8%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 20%
1–1,25 Billionen 9%
750 Mrd.–1 Bio. 7%
$16,670 Vol.
$16,670 Vol.
<500 Mrd.
2%
500–750 Mrd.
3%
750 Mrd.–1 Bio.
7%
1–1,25 Billionen
25%
1,25T–1,5T
7%
1,5T+
68%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
20%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's March 2026 close of a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation has anchored trader sentiment around a blockbuster IPO expected as early as Q4 2026, driving the 68.8% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Strong demand from major technology investors, combined with projected revenue growth from ChatGPT and enterprise AI services, supports expectations that the company will command premium pricing at listing despite ongoing losses exceeding $10 billion annually. Recent reports of missed internal targets have introduced modest uncertainty, reflected in the 23% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, yet the absence of regulatory or structural delays keeps the path to a high-valuation debut the dominant scenario priced by real-money markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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