Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing above $2 trillion (61% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026, which outlined ambitious Starship reusability milestones, Starlink revenue projections exceeding $22 billion in 2026, and novel AI integrations for autonomous operations. Recent S-1 disclosures and tender offers valuing shares at $800 billion underscore surging secondary market demand, while Elon Musk's updates on Starship V4's 10-kiloton thrust target and global spaceport expansions signal operational scaling. Lower brackets trail due to historical valuation multiples on launch cadence and constellation growth, with resolution hinging on Q2 listing details and Starship flight tests amid regulatory scrutiny on governance structures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpaceX IPO-Schlussmarktkapitalisierung (niedrigere Streiks)
SpaceX IPO-Schlussmarktkapitalisierung (niedrigere Streiks)
2,0T+ 61%
1,8–2,0 Billionen 11%
1,6 Bio.–1,8 Bio. 8.6%
1,4 Bio.–1,6 Bio. 6.2%
$946,693 Vol.
$946,693 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
1%
<1,0T
4%
1,0 T–1,2 T
2%
1,2 B–1,4 B
3%
1,4 Bio.–1,6 Bio.
6%
1,6 Bio.–1,8 Bio.
9%
1,8–2,0 Billionen
11%
2,0T+
61%
2,0T+ 61%
1,8–2,0 Billionen 11%
1,6 Bio.–1,8 Bio. 8.6%
1,4 Bio.–1,6 Bio. 6.2%
$946,693 Vol.
$946,693 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
$189,586 Vol.
1%
<1,0T
$76,010 Vol.
4%
1,0 T–1,2 T
$54,083 Vol.
2%
1,2 B–1,4 B
$71,493 Vol.
3%
1,4 Bio.–1,6 Bio.
$116,179 Vol.
6%
1,6 Bio.–1,8 Bio.
$119,281 Vol.
9%
1,8–2,0 Billionen
$106,321 Vol.
11%
2,0T+
$213,741 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing above $2 trillion (61% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026, which outlined ambitious Starship reusability milestones, Starlink revenue projections exceeding $22 billion in 2026, and novel AI integrations for autonomous operations. Recent S-1 disclosures and tender offers valuing shares at $800 billion underscore surging secondary market demand, while Elon Musk's updates on Starship V4's 10-kiloton thrust target and global spaceport expansions signal operational scaling. Lower brackets trail due to historical valuation multiples on launch cadence and constellation growth, with resolution hinging on Q2 listing details and Starship flight tests amid regulatory scrutiny on governance structures.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volumen
$946,693Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing above $2 trillion (61% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026, which outlined ambitious Starship reusability milestones, Starlink revenue projections exceeding $22 billion in 2026, and novel AI integrations for autonomous operations. Recent S-1 disclosures and tender offers valuing shares at $800 billion underscore surging secondary market demand, while Elon Musk's updates on Starship V4's 10-kiloton thrust target and global spaceport expansions signal operational scaling. Lower brackets trail due to historical valuation multiples on launch cadence and constellation growth, with resolution hinging on Q2 listing details and Starship flight tests amid regulatory scrutiny on governance structures.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$946,693Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing above $2 trillion (61% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026, which outlined ambitious Starship reusability milestones, Starlink revenue projections exceeding $22 billion in 2026, and novel AI integrations for autonomous operations. Recent S-1 disclosures and tender offers valuing shares at $800 billion underscore surging secondary market demand, while Elon Musk's updates on Starship V4's 10-kiloton thrust target and global spaceport expansions signal operational scaling. Lower brackets trail due to historical valuation multiples on launch cadence and constellation growth, with resolution hinging on Q2 listing details and Starship flight tests amid regulatory scrutiny on governance structures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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