Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing five months after the company's confidential submission in January amid a cautious tech IPO window. Secondary market trading on platforms like Hiive values shares at $43.61 as of May 12—implying a $7-10 billion market cap, down from the 2021 peak of $15 billion—bolstering the 15% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut if it materializes. Revenue has roughly doubled to an estimated $700-900 million annually since 2021, yet persistent unprofitability, gaming-centric branding challenges, and SaaS multiple compression have tempered enthusiasm for higher brackets like 25-30 billion (8%). Traders eye potential enterprise pivots, but near-term resolution hinges on any S-1 disclosure before quarter-end deadlines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDiscord IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Discord IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 76%
<15 Mrd. $ 15.2%
25–30 Mrd. 8.4%
15–20 Mrd. 3.4%
$888,972 Vol.
$888,972 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<15 Mrd. $
15%
15–20 Mrd.
3%
20–25 Mrd.
1%
25–30 Mrd.
8%
30 Mrd.+
1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
76%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 76%
<15 Mrd. $ 15.2%
25–30 Mrd. 8.4%
15–20 Mrd. 3.4%
$888,972 Vol.
$888,972 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<15 Mrd. $
$298,387 Vol.
15%
15–20 Mrd.
$109,415 Vol.
3%
20–25 Mrd.
$74,403 Vol.
1%
25–30 Mrd.
$112,987 Vol.
8%
30 Mrd.+
$100,260 Vol.
1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
$193,520 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing five months after the company's confidential submission in January amid a cautious tech IPO window. Secondary market trading on platforms like Hiive values shares at $43.61 as of May 12—implying a $7-10 billion market cap, down from the 2021 peak of $15 billion—bolstering the 15% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut if it materializes. Revenue has roughly doubled to an estimated $700-900 million annually since 2021, yet persistent unprofitability, gaming-centric branding challenges, and SaaS multiple compression have tempered enthusiasm for higher brackets like 25-30 billion (8%). Traders eye potential enterprise pivots, but near-term resolution hinges on any S-1 disclosure before quarter-end deadlines.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$888,972Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing five months after the company's confidential submission in January amid a cautious tech IPO window. Secondary market trading on platforms like Hiive values shares at $43.61 as of May 12—implying a $7-10 billion market cap, down from the 2021 peak of $15 billion—bolstering the 15% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut if it materializes. Revenue has roughly doubled to an estimated $700-900 million annually since 2021, yet persistent unprofitability, gaming-centric branding challenges, and SaaS multiple compression have tempered enthusiasm for higher brackets like 25-30 billion (8%). Traders eye potential enterprise pivots, but near-term resolution hinges on any S-1 disclosure before quarter-end deadlines.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$888,972Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing five months after the company's confidential submission in January amid a cautious tech IPO window. Secondary market trading on platforms like Hiive values shares at $43.61 as of May 12—implying a $7-10 billion market cap, down from the 2021 peak of $15 billion—bolstering the 15% odds for a sub-$15 billion debut if it materializes. Revenue has roughly doubled to an estimated $700-900 million annually since 2021, yet persistent unprofitability, gaming-centric branding challenges, and SaaS multiple compression have tempered enthusiasm for higher brackets like 25-30 billion (8%). Traders eye potential enterprise pivots, but near-term resolution hinges on any S-1 disclosure before quarter-end deadlines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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