SpaceX’s record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX has driven near-certain trader consensus for 2026 Nasdaq-100 inclusion at 97.5% implied probability. Nasdaq’s fast-entry rules, updated effective May 1, 2026, enable top-40 market-cap companies to join in roughly 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long seasoning period, positioning SpaceX for rapid addition as one of the world’s largest public firms. Recent index-provider adjustments and the company’s massive scale further support automatic passive-fund inflows. While the outcome appears highly probable, minor delays in formal review or unexpected regulatory scrutiny could still shift timing, though historical precedents and current rules make such interruptions unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
NEU
1. Jan. 2027
Ja
NEU
NEU
1. Jan. 2027
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX has driven near-certain trader consensus for 2026 Nasdaq-100 inclusion at 97.5% implied probability. Nasdaq’s fast-entry rules, updated effective May 1, 2026, enable top-40 market-cap companies to join in roughly 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long seasoning period, positioning SpaceX for rapid addition as one of the world’s largest public firms. Recent index-provider adjustments and the company’s massive scale further support automatic passive-fund inflows. While the outcome appears highly probable, minor delays in formal review or unexpected regulatory scrutiny could still shift timing, though historical precedents and current rules make such interruptions unlikely.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
Volumen
$5,249Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX has driven near-certain trader consensus for 2026 Nasdaq-100 inclusion at 97.5% implied probability. Nasdaq’s fast-entry rules, updated effective May 1, 2026, enable top-40 market-cap companies to join in roughly 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long seasoning period, positioning SpaceX for rapid addition as one of the world’s largest public firms. Recent index-provider adjustments and the company’s massive scale further support automatic passive-fund inflows. While the outcome appears highly probable, minor delays in formal review or unexpected regulatory scrutiny could still shift timing, though historical precedents and current rules make such interruptions unlikely.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volumen
$5,249Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX has driven near-certain trader consensus for 2026 Nasdaq-100 inclusion at 97.5% implied probability. Nasdaq’s fast-entry rules, updated effective May 1, 2026, enable top-40 market-cap companies to join in roughly 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long seasoning period, positioning SpaceX for rapid addition as one of the world’s largest public firms. Recent index-provider adjustments and the company’s massive scale further support automatic passive-fund inflows. While the outcome appears highly probable, minor delays in formal review or unexpected regulatory scrutiny could still shift timing, though historical precedents and current rules make such interruptions unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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