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icon for SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag

icon for SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag

Höher

57% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Höher

57% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX's pending Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with pricing targeted near $135 per share for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the modest 57.5% market-implied odds favoring an up open on the second trading day. Traders cite robust pre-IPO demand fueled by Starlink revenue momentum, the February 2026 xAI merger expanding AI and space-data-center ambitions, and private-market share gains exceeding 50% year-to-date as supportive factors. Offsetting this is caution around elevated multiples near 90 times trailing sales, heavy ongoing losses, and dual-class share structure locking in Elon Musk's control, which historically amplifies post-listing volatility. Upcoming roadshow feedback and first-day volume will likely serve as the next key swing catalysts for second-day price action.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Volumen
$1,246
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX's pending Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with pricing targeted near $135 per share for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the modest 57.5% market-implied odds favoring an up open on the second trading day. Traders cite robust pre-IPO demand fueled by Starlink revenue momentum, the February 2026 xAI merger expanding AI and space-data-center ambitions, and private-market share gains exceeding 50% year-to-date as supportive factors. Offsetting this is caution around elevated multiples near 90 times trailing sales, heavy ongoing losses, and dual-class share structure locking in Elon Musk's control, which historically amplifies post-listing volatility. Upcoming roadshow feedback and first-day volume will likely serve as the next key swing catalysts for second-day price action.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Volumen
$1,246
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag" ist ein täglich-Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler Anteile darauf kaufen und verkaufen, ob der Preis von SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als sein Eröffnungspreis über das im Titel angegebene täglich-Fenster abschließen wird. Die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit liegt bei 57% für „Höher". Ein Preis von 57% bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 57% zuweist. Die Preise werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisbewegungen von SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag" ist ein aktiver kurzfristiger Markt auf Polymarket. Das Handelsvolumen kann sich schnell aufbauen, während das täglich-Fenster fortschreitet – steigen Sie früh ein, um die Quoten mitzugestalten.

Um auf „SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag" zu handeln, entscheiden Sie, ob der Preis von SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag um 12:00 Uhr ET am das Auflösungsdatum höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als um 12:00 Uhr ET am June 9 sein wird. Kaufen Sie „Up", wenn Sie glauben, der Preis wird steigen, oder „Down", wenn Sie glauben, er wird fallen. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr Ergebnis bei der Auflösung richtig, zahlt jeder Anteil $1,00 aus. Liegt es falsch, sind die Anteile $0 wert.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag" liegt bei 57% für „Höher", was bedeutet, dass die Polymarket-Community derzeit eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 57% sieht, dass der Preis von SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag über dieses täglich-Fenster höher abschließen wird. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisdaten von SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag reagieren. Über einen ganzen Tag spiegeln die Quoten die sich entwickelnde Stimmung wider, während sich die Preisbewegung des Tages entfaltet. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder handeln Sie jetzt, bevor das Fenster schließt.

Der Markt „SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag" wird auf Basis eines Vergleichs des SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down am zweiten Tag-Preises um 12:00 Uhr ET am das Auflösungsdatum gegenüber 12:00 Uhr ET am June 9 aufgelöst, unter Verwendung der Binance SPACEX-IPO-OPEN-UPDOWN-ON-SECOND-DAY-20260608180600456/USDT 1-Minuten-Kerzenschlusspreise. Ist der Preis am das Auflösungsdatum höher, ist das Ergebnis „Up"; ist er niedriger, „Down"; bei Gleichheit wird 50-50 aufgelöst. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite einsehen.