Morgan Stanley’s 66.5% market-implied probability reflects its positioning as the favored lead-left underwriter for Anthropic’s planned Nasdaq listing, driven by its leadership of the company’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent investor outreach on valuation. Goldman Sachs, at 12.0%, is expected to serve as stabilization agent alongside its co-lead role, consistent with the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent syndicate alignments that also include JPMorgan and Citigroup. These assignments mirror precedents where credit-line commitments determine IPO mandates, with Morgan Stanley’s recent discussions on share pricing reinforcing its edge ahead of a potential late-September filing and mid-October roadshow targeting a valuation exceeding $2 trillion.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Morgan Stanley 77%
Goldman Sachs 11%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$64,263 Vol.
$64,263 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
67%
Goldman Sachs
11%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 77%
Goldman Sachs 11%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$64,263 Vol.
$64,263 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
67%
Goldman Sachs
11%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s 66.5% market-implied probability reflects its positioning as the favored lead-left underwriter for Anthropic’s planned Nasdaq listing, driven by its leadership of the company’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent investor outreach on valuation. Goldman Sachs, at 12.0%, is expected to serve as stabilization agent alongside its co-lead role, consistent with the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent syndicate alignments that also include JPMorgan and Citigroup. These assignments mirror precedents where credit-line commitments determine IPO mandates, with Morgan Stanley’s recent discussions on share pricing reinforcing its edge ahead of a potential late-September filing and mid-October roadshow targeting a valuation exceeding $2 trillion.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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