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icon for Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?
Finanzen·Chatgpt

Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?

icon for Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?
Finanzen·Chatgpt

Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?

$1.25T–$1.5T 12%

$1.75T–$2.0T 12%

$2.25T–$2.5T 11%

$2.0T–$2.25T 10%

Polymarket
NEU

$1.25T–$1.5T 12%

$1.75T–$2.0T 12%

$2.25T–$2.5T 11%

$2.0T–$2.25T 10%

Polymarket
NEU

<$1T

$729 Vol.

22%

$1.0T–$1.25T

$129 Vol.

25%

$1.25T–$1.5T

$80 Vol.

12%

$1.5T–$1.75T

$273 Vol.

29%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$2,025 Vol.

12%

$2.0T–$2.25T

$499 Vol.

10%

$2.25T–$2.5T

$134 Vol.

31%

$2.5T+

$1,062 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its $852 billion March private round, anchors current trader sentiment around a $1 trillion-plus debut, yet the broad Polymarket distribution reflects uncertainty over public-market multiples for a high-burn AI leader.** Strong generative AI demand, ChatGPT's scale, and SpaceX's recent $1.75 trillion listing have fueled optimism for a valuation uplift to the $2 trillion range, while ongoing losses, heavy infrastructure spending, and competition from Anthropic temper expectations. Key swing factors include final filing details, revenue trajectory toward profitability later this decade, and broader tech IPO conditions through late 2026.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,930
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its $852 billion March private round, anchors current trader sentiment around a $1 trillion-plus debut, yet the broad Polymarket distribution reflects uncertainty over public-market multiples for a high-burn AI leader.** Strong generative AI demand, ChatGPT's scale, and SpaceX's recent $1.75 trillion listing have fueled optimism for a valuation uplift to the $2 trillion range, while ongoing losses, heavy infrastructure spending, and competition from Anthropic temper expectations. Key swing factors include final filing details, revenue trajectory toward profitability later this decade, and broader tech IPO conditions through late 2026.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,930
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?

Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?

33%
icon for Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von OpenAI am Tag des Börsengangs bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 bei Börsenschluss 1,5 Billionen US-Dollar oder mehr betragen?

Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von OpenAI am Tag des Börsengangs bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 bei Börsenschluss 1,5 Billionen US-Dollar oder mehr betragen?

34%
Ja
icon for OpenAI-Börsengang schließt mit einer Marktkapitalisierung von über 800 Milliarden US-Dollar?

OpenAI-Börsengang schließt mit einer Marktkapitalisierung von über 800 Milliarden US-Dollar?

80%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „$2.25T–$2.5T" mit 31%, gefolgt von „$1.5T–$1.75T" mit 29%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 31¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 21, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ist „$2.25T–$2.5T" mit 31%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „$1.5T–$1.75T" mit 29%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.