OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO—prioritizing AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination—have shifted focus to a 2027 debut while preserving ambitions for at least a $1 trillion valuation from the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion. Trader consensus in the $1.5–2.0 trillion brackets reflects the company’s estimated $24–40 billion annualized revenue run rate, substantial compute investments, and sector momentum, tempered by ongoing GAAP losses and secondary-market discounts near $475 billion. Comparable AI listings and Anthropic’s parallel preparations add competitive pressure on pricing, with resolution likely hinging on 2027 market conditions and any pre-IPO milestones.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%
$2.5T+ 16.4%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.6%
$134,672 Vol.
$134,672 Vol.
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
12%
$1.25T–$1.5T
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
12%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%
$2.5T+ 16.4%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.6%
$134,672 Vol.
$134,672 Vol.
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
12%
$1.25T–$1.5T
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
12%
$2.5T+
16%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO—prioritizing AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination—have shifted focus to a 2027 debut while preserving ambitions for at least a $1 trillion valuation from the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion. Trader consensus in the $1.5–2.0 trillion brackets reflects the company’s estimated $24–40 billion annualized revenue run rate, substantial compute investments, and sector momentum, tempered by ongoing GAAP losses and secondary-market discounts near $475 billion. Comparable AI listings and Anthropic’s parallel preparations add competitive pressure on pricing, with resolution likely hinging on 2027 market conditions and any pre-IPO milestones.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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