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icon for Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?

Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?

icon for Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?

Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?

$1.75T–$2.0T 22%

$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%

$2.5T+ 16.4%

$1.25T–$1.5T 15.6%

Polymarket

$134,672 Vol.

$1.75T–$2.0T 22%

$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%

$2.5T+ 16.4%

$1.25T–$1.5T 15.6%

Polymarket

$134,672 Vol.

<$1T

$18,922 Vol.

6%

$1.0T–$1.25T

$17,080 Vol.

12%

$1.25T–$1.5T

$7,730 Vol.

16%

$1.5T–$1.75T

$7,293 Vol.

19%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$13,600 Vol.

22%

$2.0T–$2.25T

$2,616 Vol.

5%

$2.25T–$2.5T

$8,484 Vol.

12%

$2.5T+

$58,946 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO—prioritizing AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination—have shifted focus to a 2027 debut while preserving ambitions for at least a $1 trillion valuation from the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion. Trader consensus in the $1.5–2.0 trillion brackets reflects the company’s estimated $24–40 billion annualized revenue run rate, substantial compute investments, and sector momentum, tempered by ongoing GAAP losses and secondary-market discounts near $475 billion. Comparable AI listings and Anthropic’s parallel preparations add competitive pressure on pricing, with resolution likely hinging on 2027 market conditions and any pre-IPO milestones.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$134,672
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO—prioritizing AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination—have shifted focus to a 2027 debut while preserving ambitions for at least a $1 trillion valuation from the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion. Trader consensus in the $1.5–2.0 trillion brackets reflects the company’s estimated $24–40 billion annualized revenue run rate, substantial compute investments, and sector momentum, tempered by ongoing GAAP losses and secondary-market discounts near $475 billion. Comparable AI listings and Anthropic’s parallel preparations add competitive pressure on pricing, with resolution likely hinging on 2027 market conditions and any pre-IPO milestones.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$134,672
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „$1.75T–$2.0T" mit 22%, gefolgt von „$1.5T–$1.75T" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 22¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $134.7K generiert, seit der Markt am May 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ist „$1.75T–$2.0T" mit 22%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „$1.5T–$1.75T" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.