OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent delay to a potential 2027 debut—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August—anchor trader expectations for a sizable IPO raise. The March 2026 $122 billion primary round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a $7 billion employee tender at the same level, underscores sustained demand for AI exposure and supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes above $40 billion. Persistent pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation target, amid competition from Anthropic and SpaceX listings plus broader tech-market conditions, keeps the $100 billion-plus tranche in the lead while leaving room for smaller raises if macroeconomic or regulatory factors compress pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 conversion and revenue inflection data that could accelerate timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
$100B+ 44%
<$30B 21.5%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.3%
<$30B
22%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
22%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
18%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
44%
$100B+ 44%
<$30B 21.5%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.3%
<$30B
22%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
22%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
18%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
44%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent delay to a potential 2027 debut—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August—anchor trader expectations for a sizable IPO raise. The March 2026 $122 billion primary round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a $7 billion employee tender at the same level, underscores sustained demand for AI exposure and supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes above $40 billion. Persistent pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation target, amid competition from Anthropic and SpaceX listings plus broader tech-market conditions, keeps the $100 billion-plus tranche in the lead while leaving room for smaller raises if macroeconomic or regulatory factors compress pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 conversion and revenue inflection data that could accelerate timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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