Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, despite persistent H2 2026 speculation. The data and AI platform's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation—bolstered by a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate growing over 65% year-over-year—provides ample cash runway, diminishing near-term public market urgency amid a crowded IPO calendar. Competitive dynamics in the enterprise AI lakehouse space, including integrations with large language models, further support patience for optimal timing. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 submission enabling a compressed roadshow, though historical precedents for such speed in mega-IPOs remain rare.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 91.0%
100–125 Mrd. 6.6%
200–250 Mrd. 2.0%
125–150 Mrd. 1.7%
$403,785 Vol.
$403,785 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Unter 100 Mrd.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
7%
125–150 Mrd.
2%
150–175 Mrd.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
2%
250 Mrd.+
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
91%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 91.0%
100–125 Mrd. 6.6%
200–250 Mrd. 2.0%
125–150 Mrd. 1.7%
$403,785 Vol.
$403,785 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Unter 100 Mrd.
$33,240 Vol.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
$61,994 Vol.
7%
125–150 Mrd.
$26,692 Vol.
2%
150–175 Mrd.
$59,896 Vol.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
$58,153 Vol.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
$21,122 Vol.
2%
250 Mrd.+
$126,215 Vol.
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
$16,474 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, despite persistent H2 2026 speculation. The data and AI platform's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation—bolstered by a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate growing over 65% year-over-year—provides ample cash runway, diminishing near-term public market urgency amid a crowded IPO calendar. Competitive dynamics in the enterprise AI lakehouse space, including integrations with large language models, further support patience for optimal timing. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 submission enabling a compressed roadshow, though historical precedents for such speed in mega-IPOs remain rare.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volumen
$403,785Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, despite persistent H2 2026 speculation. The data and AI platform's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation—bolstered by a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate growing over 65% year-over-year—provides ample cash runway, diminishing near-term public market urgency amid a crowded IPO calendar. Competitive dynamics in the enterprise AI lakehouse space, including integrations with large language models, further support patience for optimal timing. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 submission enabling a compressed roadshow, though historical precedents for such speed in mega-IPOs remain rare.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$403,785Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, despite persistent H2 2026 speculation. The data and AI platform's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation—bolstered by a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate growing over 65% year-over-year—provides ample cash runway, diminishing near-term public market urgency amid a crowded IPO calendar. Competitive dynamics in the enterprise AI lakehouse space, including integrations with large language models, further support patience for optimal timing. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 submission enabling a compressed roadshow, though historical precedents for such speed in mega-IPOs remain rare.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen