Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 79% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 and expectations for a public prospectus filing between May 15-22, setting the stage for late-June roadshows and listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. Robust fundamentals underpin the positioning, including projected 2026 revenue of $22-24 billion led by Starlink's 9 million subscribers and Starship milestones, alongside recent analyst briefings and Elon Musk's control via dual-class shares. July at 9% reflects potential timeline slips common in mega-IPOs, while longer-dated outcomes trade at low single digits amid no major delays reported in the past month; watch for formal S-1 release as the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIn welchem Monat wird SpaceX an die Börse gehen?
In welchem Monat wird SpaceX an die Börse gehen?
Juni 82%
Juli 9.2%
August 4.3%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027 3.1%
$339,873 Vol.
$339,873 Vol.
Mai
1%
Juni
80%
Juli
9%
August
4%
September
<1%
Oktober
1%
November
1%
Dezember
<1%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027
3%
Juni 82%
Juli 9.2%
August 4.3%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027 3.1%
$339,873 Vol.
$339,873 Vol.
Mai
1%
Juni
80%
Juli
9%
August
4%
September
<1%
Oktober
1%
November
1%
Dezember
<1%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 79% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 and expectations for a public prospectus filing between May 15-22, setting the stage for late-June roadshows and listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. Robust fundamentals underpin the positioning, including projected 2026 revenue of $22-24 billion led by Starlink's 9 million subscribers and Starship milestones, alongside recent analyst briefings and Elon Musk's control via dual-class shares. July at 9% reflects potential timeline slips common in mega-IPOs, while longer-dated outcomes trade at low single digits amid no major delays reported in the past month; watch for formal S-1 release as the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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