Strava's fitness platform maintains a tight prediction market because its last priced round set a $2.2 billion valuation in May 2025, while the confidential S-1 filed in early 2026 has not yet produced a public filing or priced listing after the missed spring window. Traders weigh this anchor against revenue estimates near $415–500 million, uncertainty over converting its large free user base into paid subscribers, and preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members and restricting API access. Broader consumer-health IPO sentiment and timing risks further balance probabilities across the 2–5 billion range, with separation likely to emerge only after fresh financial disclosures or a clear public-market debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertStrava IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Strava IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
2–3 Mrd. 30%
10–15 Mrd. $ 5.9%
5–7 Mrd. US-Dollar 5.1%
15 Mrd.+ 4.0%
$91,226 Vol.
$91,226 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<2 Mrd.
8%
2–3 Mrd.
30%
3–4 Mrd.
17%
4–5 Mrd.
38%
5–7 Mrd. US-Dollar
5%
7–10 Mrd.
20%
10–15 Mrd. $
6%
15 Mrd.+
4%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
7%
2–3 Mrd. 30%
10–15 Mrd. $ 5.9%
5–7 Mrd. US-Dollar 5.1%
15 Mrd.+ 4.0%
$91,226 Vol.
$91,226 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<2 Mrd.
$992 Vol.
8%
2–3 Mrd.
$54,580 Vol.
30%
3–4 Mrd.
$27,886 Vol.
17%
4–5 Mrd.
$1,422 Vol.
38%
5–7 Mrd. US-Dollar
$1,067 Vol.
5%
7–10 Mrd.
$1,249 Vol.
20%
10–15 Mrd. $
$1,776 Vol.
6%
15 Mrd.+
$1,464 Vol.
4%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
$789 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's fitness platform maintains a tight prediction market because its last priced round set a $2.2 billion valuation in May 2025, while the confidential S-1 filed in early 2026 has not yet produced a public filing or priced listing after the missed spring window. Traders weigh this anchor against revenue estimates near $415–500 million, uncertainty over converting its large free user base into paid subscribers, and preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members and restricting API access. Broader consumer-health IPO sentiment and timing risks further balance probabilities across the 2–5 billion range, with separation likely to emerge only after fresh financial disclosures or a clear public-market debut.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$91,226Enddatum
1. Jan. 2028Markt eröffnet
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's fitness platform maintains a tight prediction market because its last priced round set a $2.2 billion valuation in May 2025, while the confidential S-1 filed in early 2026 has not yet produced a public filing or priced listing after the missed spring window. Traders weigh this anchor against revenue estimates near $415–500 million, uncertainty over converting its large free user base into paid subscribers, and preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members and restricting API access. Broader consumer-health IPO sentiment and timing risks further balance probabilities across the 2–5 billion range, with separation likely to emerge only after fresh financial disclosures or a clear public-market debut.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$91,226Enddatum
1. Jan. 2028Markt eröffnet
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Strava's fitness platform maintains a tight prediction market because its last priced round set a $2.2 billion valuation in May 2025, while the confidential S-1 filed in early 2026 has not yet produced a public filing or priced listing after the missed spring window. Traders weigh this anchor against revenue estimates near $415–500 million, uncertainty over converting its large free user base into paid subscribers, and preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members and restricting API access. Broader consumer-health IPO sentiment and timing risks further balance probabilities across the 2–5 billion range, with separation likely to emerge only after fresh financial disclosures or a clear public-market debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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