Traders are positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite for Elon Musk’s activity on X from May 16-18, reflecting his established pattern of steady, high-volume posting on technology, policy, and company updates without major external catalysts. This market-implied odds snapshot captures the absence of breaking announcements or controversies that typically drive spikes, keeping daily output in a moderate band consistent with recent weeks. No significant shifts in his routine or platform engagement have emerged to push probabilities toward higher or lower brackets, though an unexpected statement or event could still influence the final tally before the window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert40-64 65%
65-89 31%
<40 2.8%
90-114 2.4%
$406,482 Vol.
$406,482 Vol.
<40
3%
40-64
65%
65-89
31%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 65%
65-89 31%
<40 2.8%
90-114 2.4%
$406,482 Vol.
$406,482 Vol.
<40
3%
40-64
65%
65-89
31%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite for Elon Musk’s activity on X from May 16-18, reflecting his established pattern of steady, high-volume posting on technology, policy, and company updates without major external catalysts. This market-implied odds snapshot captures the absence of breaking announcements or controversies that typically drive spikes, keeping daily output in a moderate band consistent with recent weeks. No significant shifts in his routine or platform engagement have emerged to push probabilities toward higher or lower brackets, though an unexpected statement or event could still influence the final tally before the window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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