Traders are pricing Musk’s X activity for the May 18–20 window around a moderate 40–89 tweets because his recent three-day stretches have settled into a steady but unspectacular rhythm of roughly 15–30 posts daily. That pace reflects routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural topics without the spikes that accompany earnings calls, launches, or viral moments. Recent seven-day markets resolved near 280–300 posts, confirming an average daily volume that scales down over quieter weekends, while shorter bursts have occasionally dipped below 40 when news flow slows. With no major company announcements or public appearances locked in for the period, the market consensus views the upcoming stretch as typical downtime rather than a high-engagement surge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert40–64 44%
65-89 28%
<40 16%
90-114 9%
NEU
$18,479 Vol.
NEU
$18,479 Vol.
20. Mai 2026
<40
16%
40–64
44%
65-89
28%
90-114
9%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40–64 44%
65-89 28%
<40 16%
90-114 9%
NEU
$18,479 Vol.
NEU
$18,479 Vol.
20. Mai 2026
<40
$446 Vol.
16%
40–64
$1,799 Vol.
44%
65-89
$1,067 Vol.
28%
90-114
$4,334 Vol.
9%
115-139
$1,077 Vol.
3%
140-164
$1,201 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,616 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$2,380 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$2,295 Vol.
<1%
240+
$2,344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing Musk’s X activity for the May 18–20 window around a moderate 40–89 tweets because his recent three-day stretches have settled into a steady but unspectacular rhythm of roughly 15–30 posts daily. That pace reflects routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural topics without the spikes that accompany earnings calls, launches, or viral moments. Recent seven-day markets resolved near 280–300 posts, confirming an average daily volume that scales down over quieter weekends, while shorter bursts have occasionally dipped below 40 when news flow slows. With no major company announcements or public appearances locked in for the period, the market consensus views the upcoming stretch as typical downtime rather than a high-engagement surge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volumen
$18,479Enddatum
20. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing Musk’s X activity for the May 18–20 window around a moderate 40–89 tweets because his recent three-day stretches have settled into a steady but unspectacular rhythm of roughly 15–30 posts daily. That pace reflects routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural topics without the spikes that accompany earnings calls, launches, or viral moments. Recent seven-day markets resolved near 280–300 posts, confirming an average daily volume that scales down over quieter weekends, while shorter bursts have occasionally dipped below 40 when news flow slows. With no major company announcements or public appearances locked in for the period, the market consensus views the upcoming stretch as typical downtime rather than a high-engagement surge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$18,479Enddatum
20. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders are pricing Musk’s X activity for the May 18–20 window around a moderate 40–89 tweets because his recent three-day stretches have settled into a steady but unspectacular rhythm of roughly 15–30 posts daily. That pace reflects routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural topics without the spikes that accompany earnings calls, launches, or viral moments. Recent seven-day markets resolved near 280–300 posts, confirming an average daily volume that scales down over quieter weekends, while shorter bursts have occasionally dipped below 40 when news flow slows. With no major company announcements or public appearances locked in for the period, the market consensus views the upcoming stretch as typical downtime rather than a high-engagement surge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen