Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.4% implied probability, driven by his measured pace midway through the period—around 48 posts logged as of May 13 per trackers, averaging 8-10 daily amid cultural commentary. Recent bursts include May 13's viral "True" replies amplifying debates on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian history, and Dominican Republic deportations, alongside a deleted May 10 post ("Bitches, Money, No Taxes, Party") that racked 50 million views before vanishing. Historical weekly patterns (e.g., 180-199 prior frame) show volatility tied to xAI promos or political firestorms, but current sentiment anticipates steady volume through May 15 close, with 120-139 next at 30.4% absent major catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert100–119 48.3%
120-139 29.1%
80-99 13.5%
140-159 7.3%
$7,394,194 Vol.
$7,394,194 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
80-99
13%
100–119
48%
120-139
29%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
100–119 48.3%
120-139 29.1%
80-99 13.5%
140-159 7.3%
$7,394,194 Vol.
$7,394,194 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
80-99
$980,221 Vol.
13%
100–119
$354,992 Vol.
48%
120-139
$364,100 Vol.
29%
140-159
$297,267 Vol.
7%
160-179
$272,420 Vol.
2%
180-199
$225,403 Vol.
1%
200-219
$265,112 Vol.
<1%
220-239
$220,936 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$307,372 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$255,455 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$204,633 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$206,664 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$192,775 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$63,239 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$68,264 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$62,389 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$58,683 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$118,926 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$91,560 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$117,006 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$86,800 Vol.
<1%
500+
$183,686 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.4% implied probability, driven by his measured pace midway through the period—around 48 posts logged as of May 13 per trackers, averaging 8-10 daily amid cultural commentary. Recent bursts include May 13's viral "True" replies amplifying debates on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian history, and Dominican Republic deportations, alongside a deleted May 10 post ("Bitches, Money, No Taxes, Party") that racked 50 million views before vanishing. Historical weekly patterns (e.g., 180-199 prior frame) show volatility tied to xAI promos or political firestorms, but current sentiment anticipates steady volume through May 15 close, with 120-139 next at 30.4% absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$7,394,194Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.4% implied probability, driven by his measured pace midway through the period—around 48 posts logged as of May 13 per trackers, averaging 8-10 daily amid cultural commentary. Recent bursts include May 13's viral "True" replies amplifying debates on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian history, and Dominican Republic deportations, alongside a deleted May 10 post ("Bitches, Money, No Taxes, Party") that racked 50 million views before vanishing. Historical weekly patterns (e.g., 180-199 prior frame) show volatility tied to xAI promos or political firestorms, but current sentiment anticipates steady volume through May 15 close, with 120-139 next at 30.4% absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$7,394,194Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.4% implied probability, driven by his measured pace midway through the period—around 48 posts logged as of May 13 per trackers, averaging 8-10 daily amid cultural commentary. Recent bursts include May 13's viral "True" replies amplifying debates on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian history, and Dominican Republic deportations, alongside a deleted May 10 post ("Bitches, Money, No Taxes, Party") that racked 50 million views before vanishing. Historical weekly patterns (e.g., 180-199 prior frame) show volatility tied to xAI promos or political firestorms, but current sentiment anticipates steady volume through May 15 close, with 120-139 next at 30.4% absent major catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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