Finland edges ahead in the Eurovision 2026 3rd place market at 15% implied probability following its commanding First Semi-Final qualification with Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," praised for explosive cinematic rehearsals blending violin virtuosity and rock energy that jury panels favor. Greece (11.5%), Australia, and Denmark share second at 11.5%, buoyed by Akylas' emotive "Ferto" rallying televote passion, Delta Goodrem's anticipated Aussie draw, and Danish twinkle-pop appeal in OGAE polls. Israel's 10% reflects resilient advancement despite boycotts, but jury-televote splits create uncertainty—Finland balances both, while challengers hinge on diaspora votes and staging impact. Semi-Final 2 qualifiers today and Saturday's Grand Final running order could reshape the podium scrum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Finland 19%
Greece 16%
Australia 13%
Denmark 13%

Finland
22%

Greece
16%

Australia
13%

Denmark
13%

Israel
11%

France
10%

Italy
8%

Germany
7%

Sweden
7%

Ukraine
7%

Cyprus
6%

Belgium
6%

Moldova
6%

Bulgaria
5%

Malta
5%

Norway
5%

Poland
5%

Romania
5%

Lithuania
4%

Azerbaijan
4%

Croatia
4%

Czechia
4%

Serbia
3%

Latvia
3%

Albania
3%

Austria
3%

Armenia
3%

Portugal
1%

Georgia
1%

Estonia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Montenegro
<1%
Finland 19%
Greece 16%
Australia 13%
Denmark 13%

Finland
22%

Greece
16%

Australia
13%

Denmark
13%

Israel
11%

France
10%

Italy
8%

Germany
7%

Sweden
7%

Ukraine
7%

Cyprus
6%

Belgium
6%

Moldova
6%

Bulgaria
5%

Malta
5%

Norway
5%

Poland
5%

Romania
5%

Lithuania
4%

Azerbaijan
4%

Croatia
4%

Czechia
4%

Serbia
3%

Latvia
3%

Albania
3%

Austria
3%

Armenia
3%

Portugal
1%

Georgia
1%

Estonia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Montenegro
<1%
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland edges ahead in the Eurovision 2026 3rd place market at 15% implied probability following its commanding First Semi-Final qualification with Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," praised for explosive cinematic rehearsals blending violin virtuosity and rock energy that jury panels favor. Greece (11.5%), Australia, and Denmark share second at 11.5%, buoyed by Akylas' emotive "Ferto" rallying televote passion, Delta Goodrem's anticipated Aussie draw, and Danish twinkle-pop appeal in OGAE polls. Israel's 10% reflects resilient advancement despite boycotts, but jury-televote splits create uncertainty—Finland balances both, while challengers hinge on diaspora votes and staging impact. Semi-Final 2 qualifiers today and Saturday's Grand Final running order could reshape the podium scrum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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