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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Australia 57%

Ukraine 14.8%

Romania 14.0%

Bulgaria 12.9%

Polymarket

$182,063 Vol.

Australia 57%

Ukraine 14.8%

Romania 14.0%

Bulgaria 12.9%

Polymarket

$182,063 Vol.

Australia

$33,189 Vol.

57%

Ukraine

$10,741 Vol.

15%

Romania

$13,885 Vol.

14%

Bulgaria

$10,123 Vol.

13%

Denmark

$44,407 Vol.

7%

Albania

$6,045 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$6,851 Vol.

1%

Czechia

$8,058 Vol.

1%

Norway

$6,340 Vol.

<1%

Malta

$8,110 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.**Australia's Delta Goodrem has emerged as the clear frontrunner at 55% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final**, propelled by her commanding jury rehearsal performance on May 13, where "Eclipse" topped scores with flawless vocals, dynamic ad-libs, and undeniable star power—tailored perfectly for jury tastes in its mid-tempo pop-ballad structure. Ukraine's Leléka secures 14.7% trader consensus via strong choral high notes in "Ridnym," a traditional ballad primed for diaspora televote surges, while Romania's gritty "Choke Me" (14.1%) and Bulgaria's high-energy opener "Bangaranga" (12.9%) ride rehearsal buzz and bookie qualifier locks near 95%. Denmark dips to 7.5% post-vocal slips. With Vienna's show imminent, secret jury-televote blend keeps upsets viable amid packed running order.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$182,063
Enddatum
12. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.**Australia's Delta Goodrem has emerged as the clear frontrunner at 55% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final**, propelled by her commanding jury rehearsal performance on May 13, where "Eclipse" topped scores with flawless vocals, dynamic ad-libs, and undeniable star power—tailored perfectly for jury tastes in its mid-tempo pop-ballad structure. Ukraine's Leléka secures 14.7% trader consensus via strong choral high notes in "Ridnym," a traditional ballad primed for diaspora televote surges, while Romania's gritty "Choke Me" (14.1%) and Bulgaria's high-energy opener "Bangaranga" (12.9%) ride rehearsal buzz and bookie qualifier locks near 95%. Denmark dips to 7.5% post-vocal slips. With Vienna's show imminent, secret jury-televote blend keeps upsets viable amid packed running order.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$182,063
Enddatum
12. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 15 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Australia" mit 57%, gefolgt von „Ukraine" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 57¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 57% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $182.1K generiert, seit der Markt am May 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 15 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" ist „Australia" mit 57%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 57% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ukraine" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.