Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 margin of victory market prices a modest 25-49 point gap at 34.5% implied probability, driven by Finland's frontrunner status after safely qualifying from semi-final 1 alongside close challengers Greece, Sweden, Croatia, Israel, and others, preserving a tight race. Recent first semi-final results on May 12 confirmed strong live performances from top betting favorites, while rehearsals showcased polished staging from Denmark and France—still pending semi-two qualification on May 14—that could further crowd the final leaderboard. Historical voting splits between juries favoring production quality and televotes boosting anthemic entries underscore the uncertainty, with no dominant blowout expected ahead of the May 16 grand final.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Mai 2026
<25
21%
25-49
35%
50-74
24%
75-99
12%
100-124
6%
125-149
5%
150+
3%
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Mai 2026
<25
$620 Vol.
21%
25-49
$1,665 Vol.
35%
50-74
$553 Vol.
24%
75-99
$547 Vol.
12%
100-124
$744 Vol.
6%
125-149
$670 Vol.
5%
150+
$875 Vol.
3%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 margin of victory market prices a modest 25-49 point gap at 34.5% implied probability, driven by Finland's frontrunner status after safely qualifying from semi-final 1 alongside close challengers Greece, Sweden, Croatia, Israel, and others, preserving a tight race. Recent first semi-final results on May 12 confirmed strong live performances from top betting favorites, while rehearsals showcased polished staging from Denmark and France—still pending semi-two qualification on May 14—that could further crowd the final leaderboard. Historical voting splits between juries favoring production quality and televotes boosting anthemic entries underscore the uncertainty, with no dominant blowout expected ahead of the May 16 grand final.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volumen
$5,644Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 margin of victory market prices a modest 25-49 point gap at 34.5% implied probability, driven by Finland's frontrunner status after safely qualifying from semi-final 1 alongside close challengers Greece, Sweden, Croatia, Israel, and others, preserving a tight race. Recent first semi-final results on May 12 confirmed strong live performances from top betting favorites, while rehearsals showcased polished staging from Denmark and France—still pending semi-two qualification on May 14—that could further crowd the final leaderboard. Historical voting splits between juries favoring production quality and televotes boosting anthemic entries underscore the uncertainty, with no dominant blowout expected ahead of the May 16 grand final.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$5,644Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 margin of victory market prices a modest 25-49 point gap at 34.5% implied probability, driven by Finland's frontrunner status after safely qualifying from semi-final 1 alongside close challengers Greece, Sweden, Croatia, Israel, and others, preserving a tight race. Recent first semi-final results on May 12 confirmed strong live performances from top betting favorites, while rehearsals showcased polished staging from Denmark and France—still pending semi-two qualification on May 14—that could further crowd the final leaderboard. Historical voting splits between juries favoring production quality and televotes boosting anthemic entries underscore the uncertainty, with no dominant blowout expected ahead of the May 16 grand final.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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