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How long will ICEMAN be?

icon for How long will ICEMAN be?

How long will ICEMAN be?

50 - 60 minutes 93%

70 - 80 minutes 42%

40 - 50 minutes 42%

30 - 40 minutes 9.3%

Polymarket

$16,135 Vol.

50 - 60 minutes 93%

70 - 80 minutes 42%

40 - 50 minutes 42%

30 - 40 minutes 9.3%

Polymarket

$16,135 Vol.

<30 minutes

$14,671 Vol.

5%

30 - 40 minutes

$1,148 Vol.

9%

40 - 50 minutes

$85 Vol.

42%

50 - 60 minutes

$41 Vol.

93%

60 - 70 minutes

$46 Vol.

65%

70 - 80 minutes

$45 Vol.

42%

80 - 90 minutes

$23 Vol.

-

90+ minutes

$77 Vol.

46%

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader sentiment on Drake's Iceman album runtime remains razor-close, with 50-60, 60-70, and 80-90 minute outcomes all hovering at 48% implied probabilities, reflecting deep uncertainty ahead of today's streaming debut. No official tracklist or total playtime has been confirmed despite the May 15 release announcement three weeks ago, leaving traders to parse unverified leaks—like a purported 18-track list clocking 68 minutes—and historical precedents such as For All the Dogs (55 minutes, 23 tracks) or Certified Lover Boy (51 minutes, 21 tracks). Competitive dynamics hinge on track count (15-25 expected) and skit/deluxe inclusions, with average song lengths around 3 minutes; the Spotify/Apple Music rollout will swiftly clarify, potentially crowning a frontrunner.

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Volumen
$16,135
Enddatum
15. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader sentiment on Drake's Iceman album runtime remains razor-close, with 50-60, 60-70, and 80-90 minute outcomes all hovering at 48% implied probabilities, reflecting deep uncertainty ahead of today's streaming debut. No official tracklist or total playtime has been confirmed despite the May 15 release announcement three weeks ago, leaving traders to parse unverified leaks—like a purported 18-track list clocking 68 minutes—and historical precedents such as For All the Dogs (55 minutes, 23 tracks) or Certified Lover Boy (51 minutes, 21 tracks). Competitive dynamics hinge on track count (15-25 expected) and skit/deluxe inclusions, with average song lengths around 3 minutes; the Spotify/Apple Music rollout will swiftly clarify, potentially crowning a frontrunner.

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Volumen
$16,135
Enddatum
15. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„How long will ICEMAN be?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „60 - 70 minutes" mit 65%, gefolgt von „50 - 60 minutes" mit 47%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 65¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „How long will ICEMAN be?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $16.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 23, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „How long will ICEMAN be?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „How long will ICEMAN be?" ist „60 - 70 minutes" mit 65%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „50 - 60 minutes" mit 47%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „How long will ICEMAN be?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.