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icon for Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner

Finland 67%

Greece 15%

Israel 15%

Croatia 5.0%

Polymarket

$198,750 Vol.

Finland 67%

Greece 15%

Israel 15%

Croatia 5.0%

Polymarket

$198,750 Vol.

Finland

$24,008 Vol.

67%

Greece

$18,170 Vol.

15%

Israel

$11,719 Vol.

15%

Croatia

$20,713 Vol.

5%

Moldova

$24,628 Vol.

3%

Lithuania

$12,667 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$10,985 Vol.

<1%

Sweden

$13,920 Vol.

<1%

Poland

$14,496 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$8,374 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$7,360 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$7,799 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$7,600 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$7,147 Vol.

<1%

Portugal

$9,164 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 66.5% implied probability as the First Semi-Final winner, driven by dominant dress rehearsal performances, top rankings in press and audience polls, and consistent bookmaker favoritism through Vienna's event week. The entry's high-energy staging and broad jury-televote appeal solidified trader consensus post-May 12 semi-final, where it qualified alongside frontrunners. Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" (14.5%) and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") tied for second on late surges from fan buzz and televote strength during rehearsals, while Croatia's LELEK ("Andromeda," 5%) benefits from epic visuals. Full points reveal after Saturday's Grand Final leaves room for upsets, but Finland's momentum defines the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$198,750
Enddatum
12. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 66.5% implied probability as the First Semi-Final winner, driven by dominant dress rehearsal performances, top rankings in press and audience polls, and consistent bookmaker favoritism through Vienna's event week. The entry's high-energy staging and broad jury-televote appeal solidified trader consensus post-May 12 semi-final, where it qualified alongside frontrunners. Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" (14.5%) and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") tied for second on late surges from fan buzz and televote strength during rehearsals, while Croatia's LELEK ("Andromeda," 5%) benefits from epic visuals. Full points reveal after Saturday's Grand Final leaves room for upsets, but Finland's momentum defines the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$198,750
Enddatum
12. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 15 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Finland" mit 67%, gefolgt von „Greece" mit 14%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 67¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $198.7K generiert, seit der Markt am May 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 15 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" ist „Finland" mit 67%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Greece" mit 14%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.