Seasonal influenza activity remains at inter-seasonal lows across the United States in late July 2026, with clinical laboratory positivity rates near 1.4% and declining trends reported through May–June surveillance. Week 30 hospitalization rates, measured per 100,000 population, typically fall well below winter peaks due to reduced transmission in warmer months, population immunity from the prior moderate-severity A(H3N2)-dominant season, and limited circulation outside peak periods. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 0.1 threshold because of normal week-to-week variability in reporting lags, sparse summer testing, and minor residual cases from spring declines. Official CDC FluView data and ensemble forecasts show stable low admissions, yet small revisions in confirmed counts or regional upticks could shift the precise rate across the boundary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGrippekrankenhausaufenthaltsrate Woche 30, 2026?
<0,1 48%
0,1 48%
>0,1 45%
<0,1
48%
0,1
48%
>0,1
45%
<0,1 48%
0,1 48%
>0,1 45%
<0,1
48%
0,1
48%
>0,1
45%
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal influenza activity remains at inter-seasonal lows across the United States in late July 2026, with clinical laboratory positivity rates near 1.4% and declining trends reported through May–June surveillance. Week 30 hospitalization rates, measured per 100,000 population, typically fall well below winter peaks due to reduced transmission in warmer months, population immunity from the prior moderate-severity A(H3N2)-dominant season, and limited circulation outside peak periods. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 0.1 threshold because of normal week-to-week variability in reporting lags, sparse summer testing, and minor residual cases from spring declines. Official CDC FluView data and ensemble forecasts show stable low admissions, yet small revisions in confirmed counts or regional upticks could shift the precise rate across the boundary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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