**Current H200 rental rates cluster around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialist providers like Jarvislabs, Vast.ai, and Lambda, with hyperscalers charging notably more.** Trader sentiment for end-September levels remains closely split because Blackwell (B200/GB200) capacity continues to ramp, displacing some Hopper workloads and adding supply pressure that has already driven meaningful price declines earlier in 2026. At the same time, persistent demand for memory-bound inference and training on the 141 GB HBM3e H200 keeps rates from collapsing further, while competitive dynamics among cloud providers, spot availability, and commitment discounts create wide dispersion. Key swing factors over the next six weeks include the pace of new Blackwell deployments, any shifts in large-scale AI cluster utilization, and whether hyperscaler or marketplace listings tighten or ease. The balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether these forces stabilize prices near current medians or push them modestly lower before September closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert5,50 $-6,00 $ 27%
$4,50-$5,00 25%
4,00 $-4,50 $ 22%
<4,00 $ 17%
$19,698 Vol.
$19,698 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
<4,00 $
17%
4,00 $-4,50 $
22%
$4,50-$5,00
25%
5,00 $–5,50 $
25%
5,50 $-6,00 $
27%
$6,00+
8%
5,50 $-6,00 $ 27%
$4,50-$5,00 25%
4,00 $-4,50 $ 22%
<4,00 $ 17%
$19,698 Vol.
$19,698 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
<4,00 $
$9,202 Vol.
17%
4,00 $-4,50 $
$1,877 Vol.
22%
$4,50-$5,00
$3,586 Vol.
25%
5,00 $–5,50 $
$1,516 Vol.
25%
5,50 $-6,00 $
$1,752 Vol.
27%
$6,00+
$1,765 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Current H200 rental rates cluster around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialist providers like Jarvislabs, Vast.ai, and Lambda, with hyperscalers charging notably more.** Trader sentiment for end-September levels remains closely split because Blackwell (B200/GB200) capacity continues to ramp, displacing some Hopper workloads and adding supply pressure that has already driven meaningful price declines earlier in 2026. At the same time, persistent demand for memory-bound inference and training on the 141 GB HBM3e H200 keeps rates from collapsing further, while competitive dynamics among cloud providers, spot availability, and commitment discounts create wide dispersion. Key swing factors over the next six weeks include the pace of new Blackwell deployments, any shifts in large-scale AI cluster utilization, and whether hyperscaler or marketplace listings tighten or ease. The balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether these forces stabilize prices near current medians or push them modestly lower before September closes.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Volumen
$19,698Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Current H200 rental rates cluster around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialist providers like Jarvislabs, Vast.ai, and Lambda, with hyperscalers charging notably more.** Trader sentiment for end-September levels remains closely split because Blackwell (B200/GB200) capacity continues to ramp, displacing some Hopper workloads and adding supply pressure that has already driven meaningful price declines earlier in 2026. At the same time, persistent demand for memory-bound inference and training on the 141 GB HBM3e H200 keeps rates from collapsing further, while competitive dynamics among cloud providers, spot availability, and commitment discounts create wide dispersion. Key swing factors over the next six weeks include the pace of new Blackwell deployments, any shifts in large-scale AI cluster utilization, and whether hyperscaler or marketplace listings tighten or ease. The balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether these forces stabilize prices near current medians or push them modestly lower before September closes.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,698Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current H200 rental rates cluster around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialist providers like Jarvislabs, Vast.ai, and Lambda, with hyperscalers charging notably more.** Trader sentiment for end-September levels remains closely split because Blackwell (B200/GB200) capacity continues to ramp, displacing some Hopper workloads and adding supply pressure that has already driven meaningful price declines earlier in 2026. At the same time, persistent demand for memory-bound inference and training on the 141 GB HBM3e H200 keeps rates from collapsing further, while competitive dynamics among cloud providers, spot availability, and commitment discounts create wide dispersion. Key swing factors over the next six weeks include the pace of new Blackwell deployments, any shifts in large-scale AI cluster utilization, and whether hyperscaler or marketplace listings tighten or ease. The balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether these forces stabilize prices near current medians or push them modestly lower before September closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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