Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 65% as of mid-September 2026, narrowly ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants, reflecting the lab’s edge in advanced reasoning and tool-augmented evaluation on the 2,500-question benchmark. Frontier scores have climbed rapidly from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-60s range through improved chain-of-thought scaffolding, larger context windows, and iterative model releases, outpacing initial projections for saturation. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-6 Astra, alongside Meta’s Muse Spark and Google’s Gemini series, trail but remain competitive; new flagship launches, agentic tool integrations, or verification-loop refinements before year-end could shift the top position. Traders watch official Scale AI and Artificial Analysis updates closely, as even modest gains on this unsaturated test carry high market impact.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$71,625 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
60 %+
52%
65 %+
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70 %+
15%
75 %+
11%
80 %+
7%
90 %+
5%
$71,625 Vol.
60 %+
$40,843 Vol.
52%
65 %+
$16,633 Vol.
29%
70 %+
$6,392 Vol.
15%
75 %+
$3,602 Vol.
11%
80 %+
$1,710 Vol.
7%
90 %+
$2,445 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 65% as of mid-September 2026, narrowly ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants, reflecting the lab’s edge in advanced reasoning and tool-augmented evaluation on the 2,500-question benchmark. Frontier scores have climbed rapidly from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-60s range through improved chain-of-thought scaffolding, larger context windows, and iterative model releases, outpacing initial projections for saturation. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-6 Astra, alongside Meta’s Muse Spark and Google’s Gemini series, trail but remain competitive; new flagship launches, agentic tool integrations, or verification-loop refinements before year-end could shift the top position. Traders watch official Scale AI and Artificial Analysis updates closely, as even modest gains on this unsaturated test carry high market impact.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Markt eröffnet: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volumen
$71,625Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://agi.safe.ai/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 65% as of mid-September 2026, narrowly ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants, reflecting the lab’s edge in advanced reasoning and tool-augmented evaluation on the 2,500-question benchmark. Frontier scores have climbed rapidly from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-60s range through improved chain-of-thought scaffolding, larger context windows, and iterative model releases, outpacing initial projections for saturation. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-6 Astra, alongside Meta’s Muse Spark and Google’s Gemini series, trail but remain competitive; new flagship launches, agentic tool integrations, or verification-loop refinements before year-end could shift the top position. Traders watch official Scale AI and Artificial Analysis updates closely, as even modest gains on this unsaturated test carry high market impact.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$71,625Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://agi.safe.ai/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 65% as of mid-September 2026, narrowly ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants, reflecting the lab’s edge in advanced reasoning and tool-augmented evaluation on the 2,500-question benchmark. Frontier scores have climbed rapidly from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-60s range through improved chain-of-thought scaffolding, larger context windows, and iterative model releases, outpacing initial projections for saturation. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-6 Astra, alongside Meta’s Muse Spark and Google’s Gemini series, trail but remain competitive; new flagship launches, agentic tool integrations, or verification-loop refinements before year-end could shift the top position. Traders watch official Scale AI and Artificial Analysis updates closely, as even modest gains on this unsaturated test carry high market impact.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die höchste Punktzahl, die ein OpenAI-Modell bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 erreicht, 55 % oder höher sein?
84%
Ja
Wird die höchste von einem Meta-Modell erreichte Punktzahl bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 55 % oder mehr betragen?
35%
Ja
Wird die höchste von einem Anthropic Claude Modell erreichte Punktzahl bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 55 % oder höher sein?
89%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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