Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs on August 1 will likely fall in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with early-August climatology where average maxima reach about 99°F under strong summer insolation and high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection potential and subtle steering influences on regional moisture, keeping probabilities closely matched between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Historical patterns confirm this range occurs frequently without extreme heat anomalies or strong frontal passages, while any late-day thunderstorm development could cap peaks slightly lower. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 1. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 1. August?
100-101°F 49%
98-99°F 32%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 12%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
91°F oder weniger
<1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
49%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F oder höher
<1%
100-101°F 49%
98-99°F 32%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 12%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
91°F oder weniger
$42 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$20 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$25 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$124 Vol.
14%
98-99°F
$73 Vol.
32%
100-101°F
$408 Vol.
49%
102-103°F
$22 Vol.
12%
104-105°F
$17 Vol.
7%
106-107°F
$45 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$42 Vol.
1%
110°F oder höher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs on August 1 will likely fall in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with early-August climatology where average maxima reach about 99°F under strong summer insolation and high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection potential and subtle steering influences on regional moisture, keeping probabilities closely matched between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Historical patterns confirm this range occurs frequently without extreme heat anomalies or strong frontal passages, while any late-day thunderstorm development could cap peaks slightly lower. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$897Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs on August 1 will likely fall in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with early-August climatology where average maxima reach about 99°F under strong summer insolation and high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection potential and subtle steering influences on regional moisture, keeping probabilities closely matched between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Historical patterns confirm this range occurs frequently without extreme heat anomalies or strong frontal passages, while any late-day thunderstorm development could cap peaks slightly lower. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$897Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs on August 1 will likely fall in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with early-August climatology where average maxima reach about 99°F under strong summer insolation and high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection potential and subtle steering influences on regional moisture, keeping probabilities closely matched between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Historical patterns confirm this range occurs frequently without extreme heat anomalies or strong frontal passages, while any late-day thunderstorm development could cap peaks slightly lower. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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