Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on July 28 points to a peak temperature of 99–100°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies with minimal moisture or cloud cover, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 98–99°F bin. Central Texas has experienced sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings through late July amid above-average warmth and dry conditions, with no strong frontal systems expected to alter the pattern. Forecasters continue monitoring afternoon heat indices above 105°F, though the market resolves on official dry-bulb maximums. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration before observations begin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 28. Juli?
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 17%
102-103°F 14%
91°F oder weniger
2%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
26%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
1%
110°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 17%
102-103°F 14%
91°F oder weniger
2%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
26%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
1%
110°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on July 28 points to a peak temperature of 99–100°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies with minimal moisture or cloud cover, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 98–99°F bin. Central Texas has experienced sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings through late July amid above-average warmth and dry conditions, with no strong frontal systems expected to alter the pattern. Forecasters continue monitoring afternoon heat indices above 105°F, though the market resolves on official dry-bulb maximums. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration before observations begin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen