Recent forecasts from meteorological services place Mexico City’s July 28 high near the long-term seasonal average of 24–25 °C, with model consensus favoring 23–26 °C amid typical rainy-season cloud cover and afternoon showers. The city’s 2,240 m elevation consistently caps daytime maxima, while high humidity and potential convective activity further suppress peak readings. Current runs show no heatwave signals or clear-sky anomalies that would push temperatures above 27 °C, keeping the 25 °C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 36.5 %. Traders are weighting these climatological and short-range model factors heavily, with lower odds assigned to rarer deviations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 28. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 28. Juli?
25°C 33%
24°C 28%
26°C 21%
23°C 16%
NEU
NEU
28. Juli 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
28%
25°C
33%
26°C
21%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 33%
24°C 28%
26°C 21%
23°C 16%
NEU
NEU
28. Juli 2026
19°C or below
$66 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$16 Vol.
6%
23°C
$47 Vol.
16%
24°C
$87 Vol.
28%
25°C
$391 Vol.
33%
26°C
$802 Vol.
21%
27°C
$35 Vol.
6%
28°C
$3 Vol.
3%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services place Mexico City’s July 28 high near the long-term seasonal average of 24–25 °C, with model consensus favoring 23–26 °C amid typical rainy-season cloud cover and afternoon showers. The city’s 2,240 m elevation consistently caps daytime maxima, while high humidity and potential convective activity further suppress peak readings. Current runs show no heatwave signals or clear-sky anomalies that would push temperatures above 27 °C, keeping the 25 °C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 36.5 %. Traders are weighting these climatological and short-range model factors heavily, with lower odds assigned to rarer deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 26, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,431Enddatum
28. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 26, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services place Mexico City’s July 28 high near the long-term seasonal average of 24–25 °C, with model consensus favoring 23–26 °C amid typical rainy-season cloud cover and afternoon showers. The city’s 2,240 m elevation consistently caps daytime maxima, while high humidity and potential convective activity further suppress peak readings. Current runs show no heatwave signals or clear-sky anomalies that would push temperatures above 27 °C, keeping the 25 °C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 36.5 %. Traders are weighting these climatological and short-range model factors heavily, with lower odds assigned to rarer deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,431Enddatum
28. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 26, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services place Mexico City’s July 28 high near the long-term seasonal average of 24–25 °C, with model consensus favoring 23–26 °C amid typical rainy-season cloud cover and afternoon showers. The city’s 2,240 m elevation consistently caps daytime maxima, while high humidity and potential convective activity further suppress peak readings. Current runs show no heatwave signals or clear-sky anomalies that would push temperatures above 27 °C, keeping the 25 °C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 36.5 %. Traders are weighting these climatological and short-range model factors heavily, with lower odds assigned to rarer deviations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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