Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 22. Juli?
13°C 38%
14°C 31%
12°C 21%
15°C 9%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
21%
13°C
38%
14°C
31%
15°C
9%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 38%
14°C 31%
12°C 21%
15°C 9%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
21%
13°C
38%
14°C
31%
15°C
9%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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