**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Busan on July 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 6?
29°C 43%
28°C 18%
30°C 12%
26°C 6.1%
NEU
NEU
6. Juli 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
43%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
29°C 43%
28°C 18%
30°C 12%
26°C 6.1%
NEU
NEU
6. Juli 2026
24°C or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
1%
26°C
$9 Vol.
6%
27°C
$3 Vol.
4%
28°C
$9 Vol.
14%
29°C
$92 Vol.
43%
30°C
$28 Vol.
12%
31°C
$11 Vol.
5%
32°C
$10 Vol.
5%
33°C
$12 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$16 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$226Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$226Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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