Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 3?
24°C 37%
25°C 23%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
NEU
$11,915 Vol.
NEU
$11,915 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
37%
25°C
23%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 37%
25°C 23%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
NEU
$11,915 Vol.
NEU
$11,915 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
18°C or below
$192 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,124 Vol.
3%
22°C
$298 Vol.
7%
23°C
$301 Vol.
21%
24°C
$6,939 Vol.
37%
25°C
$625 Vol.
23%
26°C
$336 Vol.
9%
27°C
$330 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$11,915Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,915Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for July 3 near 23–25°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds and reflecting typical rainy-season variability. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates extremes, while afternoon convection and potential thunderstorms—common in July—can cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, or earlier precipitation. Historical July averages hover near 23–24°C, with day-to-day swings driven by steering patterns, humidity levels, and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these thresholds, as small shifts in rain timing or wind could differentiate between the leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen