Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a mostly sunny day with a high near 90°F and a 30 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms, while other models and private forecasts cluster in the mid-90s. This spread, driven by variable moisture, steering winds, and the precise timing of any convective cooling, explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to the 96-97°F bin, followed closely by 94-95°F. July climatology in Denver shows typical highs near 88°F with occasional spikes above 95°F under clear, subsident conditions; the current setup features modest upper-level support for warming but limited by possible storm initiation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Denver am 11. Juli?
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 33%
92-93°F 15%
98-99°F 13%
87°F oder niedriger
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F oder höher
<1%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 33%
92-93°F 15%
98-99°F 13%
87°F oder niedriger
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a mostly sunny day with a high near 90°F and a 30 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms, while other models and private forecasts cluster in the mid-90s. This spread, driven by variable moisture, steering winds, and the precise timing of any convective cooling, explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to the 96-97°F bin, followed closely by 94-95°F. July climatology in Denver shows typical highs near 88°F with occasional spikes above 95°F under clear, subsident conditions; the current setup features modest upper-level support for warming but limited by possible storm initiation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen